The National Transport Model (NTM) is a systematic means of comparing alternative national transport or widely-used local transport policies. These policies are compared against a range of scenarios taking into account major factors affecting future patterns of travel.
Road traffic forecasts have been made using the National Transport Model.
In 2018, the National Transport Model was updated to a new base year of 2015. Reports have been published to outline the calibration, validation and implementation of the updated demand model.
To support the development of transport business cases, we have produced a suite of tools to improve appraisal of transport policy and interventions. The tools are to ensure a consistent approach and a cost reduction of carrying out the analysis:
Added 3 new reports: National Transport Model (version 5) audit, National Transport Model (version 5): peer review and National Transport Model (version 5): quality report.
Added 5 new reports: National Transport Model: NTMv2R – peer review; National Transport Model: NTMv2R – overview of model structure and update; National Transport Model: analytical review; Light goods vehicle (LGV) model overview; and Light goods vehicle (LGV) modelling and forecasting review.
Added Wider Impacts in Transport Appraisal software to collection.
'National Transport Model: calibration and validation' and 'National Transport Model: implementation report' published.