Energy and emissions projections

This series brings together all documents relating to energy and emissions projections

Each year the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) publishes updated energy projections (UEPs), analysing and projecting future energy use and greenhouse gas emissions in the UK. These projections allow us to monitor progress towards meeting the UK’s carbon budgets and are used to inform energy policy and associated analytical work across government departments.

The projections are based on assumptions of future economic growth, fossil fuel prices, electricity generation costs, UK population and other key variables regularly updated. They also give an indication of the impact of the uncertainty around some of these input assumptions.

Each set of projections takes account of climate change policies where funding has been agreed and where decisions on policy design are sufficiently advanced to allow robust estimates of policy impacts to be made.

Updated energy and emissions projections

Annual projections of greenhouse gas emissions and energy demand.

Non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections

Latest projections of non-CO2 greenhouse gases out to 2035.

If you are a specific user of the non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions projections could you please contact the following address with details of your requirements

Other documents

Published 17 September 2013
Last updated 26 October 2023 + show all updates
  1. Added Energy and emissions projections: 2022 to 2040.

  2. Energy and Emissions Projections 2021 to 2040 added.

  3. Energy and emissions projections: Net Zero Strategy baseline (partial interim update December 2021) added.

  4. Updated energy and emissions projections 2019 added.

  5. Updated energy and emissions projections: 2018 added.

  6. Latest Energy and Emissions Projections 2017 published.

  7. Latest Energy and Emissions Projections 2016 published

  8. Updated energy and emissions projections: 2015

  9. Updated summer 2015 stats published

  10. Updated energy and emissions projections 2014 published today.

  11. First published.