Energy and emissions projections: 2022 to 2040
Projections of energy demand, greenhouse gas emissions and electricity generation from 2022 to 2040.
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Update: 30 November 2023
We have published a more detailed energy and emissions projections report, alongside an accompanying methodological summary of non-CO2 projections (Annex N), and files which include the data used in all the report’s figures and tables.
We have also updated all annex files with additional scenarios (apart from Annex D which does not show scenarios).
The energy and emissions projections publication provides projections of energy, emissions and electricity generation under policies that have been implemented and those that are planned where the level of funding has been agreed and the design of the policy is near final.
The report and annexes contain projections of UK greenhouse gas emissions, energy demand and electricity generation. They include projections of the demand for each type of fuel in different sectors of the economy.
All enquiries about the projections should be sent to: emissionsprojections@energysecurity.gov.uk. For questions on the assumptions behind the projections, please see Annex M for source information.
We are unable to provide any breakdown of projected renewable electricity generation, capacity or new build by technology.
Last updated 30 November 2023 + show all updates
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We have published a more detailed energy and emissions projections report, alongside an accompanying methodological summary of non-CO2 projections (Annex N), and files which include the data used in all the report’s figures and tables. We have also updated all annex files with additional scenarios (apart from Annex D which does not show scenarios).
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First published.