Guidance

Home Office EU Settlement Scheme statistics: user guide

Updated 29 February 2024

1. Introduction

This user guide to the Home Office’s ‘EU Settlement Scheme statistics’ is designed to be a useful reference guide with explanatory notes on the issues and classifications which are key to the production, development and presentation of these releases.

In line with the Citizens’ Rights Agreements, the EU Settlement Scheme (EUSS) enables EU, other EEA and Swiss citizens resident in the UK by the end of the transition period at 11pm on 31 December 2020, and their family members, to obtain a UK immigration status. Further information about the EU Settlement Scheme can be found on the GOV.UK EU Settlement Scheme webpage.

1.1 Statistics covered

Applications (and their conclusions) are further broken down in the quarterly data by:

• Nationality
• Age group
• UK country, region and local authority
• Outcome type
• Derivative rights applications
• Repeat applicants

1.2 Applications to the EU Settlement Scheme

Late applications

For EU, other EEA and Swiss citizens and their family members resident in the UK by the end of the transition period, the deadline for applications to be made to the EUSS was 30 June 2021. However, in line with the Citizens’ Rights Agreements, they and others can make a late application to the EUSS where there are reasonable grounds for their delay in making an application. More information on late applications can be found at: EU Settlement Scheme: information for late applicants.

1.3 Repeat applicants

Repeat applicants include those who have previously applied to the EUSS, were granted pre-settled status, and can apply again for settled status as soon as they qualify for it.

1.4 Joining family members

A person can apply to the EUSS as a joining family member of an EU, other EEA or Swiss citizen resident in the UK by the end of the transition period (and who, with some exceptions, has pre-settled or settled status under the EUSS), where the family relationship existed by the end of the transition period (except in the case of a child born or adopted after that date) and continues to exist when the person applies to the EUSS. However, in line with the Citizens’ Rights Agreements, a late application can also be made by a joining family member where there are reasonable grounds for their delay in making an application where they apply after the deadline of three months from the date they arrived in the UK (or 30 June 2021 where they arrived by 31 March 2021).

Purpose

EU Settlement Scheme statistics provide valuable insight into applications to the scheme. This helps to inform government policy and to ensure that the scheme has been effectively communicated to eligible EU, other EEA and Swiss citizens and their family members.

What statistics have been published previously?

The entire series of EU Settlement Scheme statistical publications (including quarterly and monthly releases) can be found at the EU Settlement Scheme statistics collection page.

Following the simplification of the high level monthly EUSS figures in July 2020, table EUSS_MON has been included in subsequent quarterly releases, providing monthly breakdowns of applications by nationality, UK country and outcome, using the same format as the previously published monthly statistics reports.

EU Settlement Scheme monthly releases broke down applications (and their conclusions) by:

• UK country (August 2020 to July 2021 releases)
• Applications and conclusions after 30 June 2021 (July 2021 to June 2022 releases)
• Outcome type (All releases)

The monthly summary releases came to an end on 14 July 2022, with data to 30 June 2022. The EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics provide a more detailed breakdown of the applications received and concluded, including local authority level data and repeat applicants, and will continue to provide updated information on the scheme, including monthly breakdowns of applications and conclusions.

Key findings of the earlier test phases of the EUSS can be found at EU Settlement Scheme private beta 1,EU Settlement Scheme private beta 2 and EU Settlement Scheme public beta testing phase report.

Statistics on EUSS family permits are published as part of the Home Office ‘Immigration system statistics’ quarterly release. More information on EUSS family permits can be found at: EU Settlement Scheme family permit webpage.

1.5 Feedback and enquiries

We welcome feedback on the ‘EU Settlement Scheme statistics’ publications, which can be provided by email or in writing. Additionally, we’re always looking to improve the accessibility of our documents. If you find any problems, or have any feedback relating to accessibility or otherwise, please contact us:

Email: MigrationStatsEnquiries@homeoffice.gov.uk (Please include the words ‘EUSS PUBLICATION FEEDBACK’ in the subject of your email)

Alternatively, write to:

The Editor, Immigration Statistics Migration Statistics Migration & Border Analysis 14th Floor, Lunar House 40 Wellesley Road Croydon CR9 2BY

Press enquiries should be made to:

Home Office Press Office Peel Building 2 Marsham Street London SW1P 4DF Tel: 0300 123 3535

2. Glossary of terms

This glossary sets out terms used in the ‘EU Settlement Scheme statistics’ releases. It is intended to give an overview of the terms, rather than a full technical description.

If there are terms in the release that you would like to be explained in this glossary, please contact: MigrationStatsEnquiries@homeoffice.gov.uk.

2.1 Acronyms

CRA - Citizens’ Rights Agreements

EEA - European Economic Area

EU - European Union

EUSS - EU Settlement Scheme

2.2 Data systems

CID - Case information Database

Atlas - Case-working system replacing CID

Pega - EUSS case-working tool

2.3 Terms

Within an explanation of a term, words in bold are explained elsewhere in the glossary.

The Atlas case-working system is being developed to replace the Case Information Database (CID) as the Home Office’s main immigration case-working system, including for the processing of paper and Derivative rights applications.

The Case Information Database (CID) has been the Home Office’s main immigration case-working system since 2002. It was used to process EUSS applications in the private beta phases and is used to process paper and Derivative rights applications. Most EUSS applications have been processed in the Pega case-working tool since the public beta test phase. CID is being replaced with the Atlas case-working system.

The Citizens’ Rights Agreements are the Withdrawal Agreement with the European Union, the separation agreement with the other European Economic Area states (Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway) and the agreement with Switzerland on citizens’ rights.

The EU Settlement Scheme (EUSS) enables EU, other EEA and Swiss citizens resident in the UK by the end of the transition period at 11pm on 31 December 2020, and their family members, to apply for UK immigration status. The scheme is a digital system which allows them to obtain settled status or pre-settled status.

The European Union (EU) consists of 27 countries: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden.

The European Economic Area (EEA) consists of the 27 countries of the European Union, plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway.

EU Settlement Scheme family permits enable family members of EU, other EEA and Swiss citizens, resident in the UK by the end of the transition period (and who, with some exceptions, have pre-settled or settled status under the EUSS), and (where the application was made before 9 August 2023) of qualifying British citizens returning to the UK after living in the EEA or Switzerland, to join them in the UK. Once here, the family member can then apply to the EUSS for the immigration status they need to continue living in the UK.

Invalid applications are those which fail to meet the validity criteria specified in the Immigration Rules relating to the EUSS. An application is valid where it has been made using the required application process, the required proof of identity and nationality (or of entitlement to apply from outside the UK) has been provided, the required biometrics have been provided, (where the date of application is on or after 9 August 2023) it has been made by the required date (that is by the applicable deadline or there are reasonable grounds for the delay since then), and (where the date of application is on or after 9 August 2023 and the applicant relies on being a joining family member) the applicant is not an illegal entrant or irregular arrival to the UK.

Pre-settled status and settled status are types of immigration status which can be granted under the EUSS. Under Appendix EU to the Immigration Rules, grants are either indefinite leave to enter (ILE) (where the application is made outside the UK) or indefinite leave to remain (ILR) (where the application is made within the UK) – also referred to for the purposes of the scheme as ‘settled status’ – or 5 years’ limited leave to enter (LTE) (where the application is made outside the UK) or 5 years’ limited leave to remain (LTR) (where the application is made within the UK) – also referred to as ‘pre-settled status’.

A valid application can be refused on eligibility or suitability grounds where it does not meet the eligibility or suitability criteria for the scheme, set out in Appendix EU to the Immigration Rules.

The eligibility criteria are considered on a case by case basis and are generally met where the applicant has satisfactorily proved that they are eligible for leave under the scheme because, for example:

• they have a continuous qualifying period of UK residence that began before the end of the transition period, or
• they have (or had) a family relationship with a relevant EU, other EEA or Swiss citizen.

In February 2020, the Home Office began refusing EUSS applications on eligibility grounds. Many of these eligibility refusals relate to cases which are subject to repeated unsuccessful attempts to obtain missing information or evidence from the applicant.

The suitability criteria are considered on a case by case basis, and are generally met where the applicant has satisfactorily proved that they are suitable for leave under the scheme because, for example:

• they are not subject to a deportation order/decision or an exclusion order/decision, and
• they have not submitted false or misleading information or documentation in their application.

The eligibility and suitability criteria can be found in full in the EU Settlement Scheme caseworker guidance.

The transition period was the period from the UK’s exit from the European Union at 11pm on 31 January 2020 until 11pm on 31 December 2020, during which EU law on free movement continued to apply in the UK.

An application is void if it is submitted by someone whose status means that they cannot be granted leave under the Immigration Rules, and there is therefore no legal basis for the Home Office to process it. Examples include applications from British citizens (including dual nationals) or others with a right of abode in the UK.

An application is withdrawn if the applicant asks the Home Office, in writing, to withdraw it before it is concluded. Examples include where the applicant applies but subsequently decides to leave the UK or apply for a different status (for example British citizenship) or has made multiple applications.

Derivative rights applications are from applicants who did not qualify for a right of residence under the Free Movement Directive (Directive 2004/38/EC) but may have had a right to reside in the UK before the end of the transition period derived from other EU law. Derivative rights applicants can apply to the EUSS under one of the following routes:

• Chen
• Ibrahim & Teixeira
• Lounes
• Surinder Singh
• Zambrano

Lounes and Surinder Singh applications are grouped under family member of a British citizen in the statistics.

Applications under the Chen route can be made by the primary carer of an EEA national self-sufficient child. A derivative right to reside in the UK was available, before the end of the transition period, to the primary carer to ensure the EEA national child was not compelled to leave the UK.

Applications under the Ibrahim & Teixeira route can be made by the child (and the primary carer of that child) of an EEA national, where the child is in education in the UK and the EEA national has ceased to be a worker or self-employed person in the UK. A derivative right to reside in the UK was available, before the end of the transition period, to the child and their primary carer so that the child can continue to be educated in the UK.

Applications under the Lounes route can be made by the family members of an EEA national who had rights under the Free Movement Directive and then subsequently naturalised as a British citizen. This route is available to ensure the dual EEA and British citizen can continue to rely in practice on their EU law rights for family reunion purposes.

Applications under the Surinder Singh route could be made before 9 August 2023, and can still be made (by a person with pre-settled status under the route, or by a person with a relevant EUSS family permit: before its expiry or later where there are reasonable grounds for the delay in applying), by the family members of a qualifying British citizen who, before the end of the transition period, resided with that British citizen while they exercised their rights under the Free Movement Directive in an EEA Member State or Switzerland, and then returned with them to the UK. This route was available to enable the British citizen to continue for a period to rely in practice on their EU law rights for family reunion purposes when they returned to the UK.

Applications under the Zambrano route could be made before 9 August 2023, and can still be made (by a person with pre-settled status under the route, or by a person with a relevant EUSS family permit: before its expiry or later where there are reasonable grounds for the delay in applying), by the primary carer of a British citizen child or dependent adult who, without the care provided by the primary carer, would have been compelled to leave the UK, the EEA and Switzerland. A derivative right to reside in the UK was available, before the end of the transition period, to the primary carer so that the British citizen could continue to live in the UK. Following the Court of Appeal’s judgment in the case of Akinsanya, the EUSS requirements for applicants relying on being a Zambrano primary carer were reconsidered. Full details are available in the guidance EU Settlement Scheme: Zambrano primary carers.

Information on the eligibility criteria for derivative rights applicants can be found in full in the EU Settlement Scheme caseworker guidance.

3. Conventions

3.1 Official Statistics

EU Settlement Scheme statistics were newly established in 2019 and as such were initially designated as ‘Experimental Statistics’ Types of official statistics – UK Statistics Authority. Statisticians in the Home Office have worked to quality assure these statistics and from May 2022, these are designated as ‘Official Statistics’.

There has been extensive development to assure the data quality for the EUSS with all the final publishable data now using the same reproducible data pipeline to extract, process and quality assure the data. This includes a cross-check of the tables to ensure accurate totals, and undertaking logic checks to investigate anomalies and for consistency against previous totals. Any significant changes are investigated with Home Office operational and policy teams and both regular and ad-hoc data cleansing exercises are undertaken.

However, as the data come from administrative data sources, they are subject to some inaccuracies inherent in any administrative data sources.

3.2 Rounding

In most instances, percentages are rounded to the nearest per cent using the round-half-away-from-zero method. The round-half-away-from-zero method has been used so that in the borderline case where the fraction of the percentage is exactly 0.5, the rounded figure is equal to y + 0.5 if y is positive, and y - 0.5 if y is negative. For example, 23.5% is rounded to 24%, and -23.5% is rounded to -24%.

Where percentages are rounded, they may not total 100% because they have been rounded independently.

Absolute values are rounded to the nearest 10 in line with disclosure control principles specified below.

3.3 Revisions to data

Data published in the ‘EU Settlement Scheme statistics’ are taken from live operational databases, and as such are subject to revision, in line with the published Home Office revisions and corrections policy. It is not possible to evaluate whether any future revisions will be upward or downward, but the reasons for revisions are likely to include:

• late reporting of cases – some cases may be entered onto the system after the time that the data extracts are initially taken

• changes to cases – as cases progress, some of the details of the case may be updated

• the results of data-cleansing exercises, such as data identified that cannot be included when the statistics are calculated because of missing or invalid values, or the identification of duplicates in the data

There may be minor differences in EUSS figures reporting on UK nation and Local Authority due to a change in the source of locational data used. This is due to ongoing upgrades to the EUSS data management systems and data cleansing exercises.

3.4 Revisions analysis

In the May 2023 release, a data cleansing exercise on the EUSS data management systems resulted in an increase in the overall number of applications and concluded outcomes for applications under the Family Members of a British Citizen route. A comparison of the figures published in February 2023 for Q4 2022 and what was published in that release is shown in Table 1 below.

Table 1: Revisions to Derivative Right to Reside applications figures under the Family Member of a British Citizen route - published in May 2023 compared to February 2023

	Published 23 February 2023 for data to 31 December 2022	Published 25 May 2023 for data to 31 March 2023	Change	Proportional change (%)
Applications received	4,760	12,450	7,690	+162%
Applications concluded	4,700	11,980	7,280	+155%
Settled	1,590	4,120	2,530	159%
Pre-settled	2,880	6,610	3,730	+130%
Refused	150	920	770	+513%
Withdrawn or void	60	230	170	+283%
Invalid	20	90	70	+350%

  Source: Table EUSS_DR_01, EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics tables

In July 2023 data cleansing work performed on the underlying data within the statistical information management system included some revisions in the recorded nationality of a proportion of non-EEA nationals. This led to changes in some of the reported nationalities of EUSS applicants in tables EUSS_NON_EEA_01 and EUSS_NON_EEA_02. The result has been a reduction in the reported figures for some nationalities, including ‘Other and unknown’, ‘Refugee’, ‘Russia’ and ‘Angola’. A comparison of the figures published in August 2023 for Q2 2023 and what has been published in November 2023 for Q3 2023 is shown in Table 2 below. The reductions in other nationalities were far smaller that the four highlighted.

Table 2: Revisions to non-EEA nationalities that saw a reduction in applications and conclusions – published August 2023 compared to November 2023

	Published 24 August 2023 for data to 30 June 2023 - Applications	Published 23 November 2023 for data to 30 September 2023 - Applications	Change	Proportional change (%)
Other and unknown	1,480	1,200	-280	-19%
Refugee	410	240	-170	-41%
Russia	6,410	6,110	-300	-5%
Angola	1,130	960	-150	-13%

Source: Tables EUSS_NON_EEA_01 and 02, EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics tables

In data for the November 2023 release an issue was identified with the statistical information management system that resulted in the duplication of information related to the local authority Wiltshire. The issue has been corrected and information for Wiltshire has been revised. A comparison of the figures published in August 2023 for Q2 2023 and what has been published in November 2023 for Q3 2023 is shown in Table 3 below.

Table 3: Revisions to applications and conclusions for Wiltshire – published August 2023 compared to November 2023

	Published 24 August 2023 for data to 30 June 2023	Published 23 November 2023 for data to 30 September 2023	Change	Proportional change (%)
Applications	41,900	21,390	-20,510	-49%
Conclusions	41,330	20,140	-20,190	-49%

Source: Tables EUSS_LA_01, 02 and 03, EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics tables

3.5 Disclosure control

Rounding and cell suppression are forms of ‘statistical disclosure control’ and have been considered in line with the ‘Code of Practice for Official Statistics’.

In the high-level monthly statistics, figures are rounded to the nearest 100, with cell counts between 1 and 49 replaced by an asterisk (‘*’).

In the more detailed quarterly statistics, figures are rounded to the nearest 10, with cell counts between 1 and 9 replaced by an asterisk (‘*’).

“The Code of Practice for Official Statistics states ‘Ensure that arrangements for confidentiality are sufficient to protect the privacy of individual information, but not so restrictive as to limit unduly the practical utility of official statistics.’ This emphasises the dual purposes of statistical disclosure control. Detail relating to individual statistical units is to be protected but the released data must still be of high practical utility for users^{[footnote 1]}.”

3.6 Use of symbols

The following symbols have been used in the tables:

* - Figures (between 1 and 9) not disclosed
0 - Nil
z - Not applicable

3.7 Revisions to data

The data contained in the release may be subject to revision. It is not possible to evaluate whether any future revisions will be upward or downward, but the reasons for revisions are likely to include:

• late reporting of cases – a small proportion of cases are not included when the statistics are produced
• the results of data-cleansing exercises, such as data identified that cannot be included when the statistics are calculated because of missing or invalid values, or the identification of duplicates in the data

3.8 Data Quality

Listed below are key data quality measures relating to the ‘EU Settlement Scheme statistics’:

• detailed information based on administrative data
• data are classified as ‘Official Statistics’ (see definition above)
• provision of detailed local level data on a quarterly basis. Figures are sourced from a live operational database, to which revisions may be made
• there are a number of cases where location (3%), nationality (less than 0.01%), or age (less than 0.01%) information is not available or in an analysable form^{[footnote 2]}
• non-disclosure of small figures and rounding are used for data quality purposes (see above) and confidentiality reasons
• ‘withdrawn’ and ‘void’ applications are not reported separately as they are grouped together in the EUSS case working systems

The majority of EUSS applications are associated with a UK address, although there is no requirement to give a UK address and applications can be made in-country, or in some cases, from overseas. We report that “total applications” include a number of records (3%) where locational data is not available or in an analysable format from live systems. This proportion includes applications associated with a non-UK address.

4. Methodology

4.1 Data source

The Home Office introduced a new standalone caseworking system specifically for processing EU Settlement Scheme applications. The system went ‘live’ on 1 November 2018 and has been used to process applications from this date. The data available for analysis in this publication does not include some detailed information reported on in the earlier test phases relating to performance of the EU Settlement Scheme app.

Before the introduction of the new caseworking system, Private Beta 1 (PB1) applications were processed in an existing caseworking system, ‘CID’. Paper and derivative rights applications continue to be processed in CID. CID was introduced in 2000 as the Asylum Case Information Database (ACID). It was then expanded in 2002 to cover non-asylum extensions of stay, settlement and British citizenship casework. CID is now being replaced by the Atlas case administration system.

4.2 Integration of case-working systems

Applications to the EU Settlement Scheme are made through an online system, although there are certain exceptions where applications may be submitted using a paper application form.

Paper application forms may be submitted by applicants who:

• are applying on the basis of a derivative right to reside;
• do not hold a valid identity document and are unable to obtain one; or
• are unable to apply using the online application form and cannot be supported to do so

Additional information can be found at Apply to the EU Settlement Scheme (settled and pre-settled status).

Electronic and paper applications have been integrated into a single reporting set of data from August 2020.

Applications made online are captured and processed on a digital case-working system, from which the majority of the data underpinning the statistical reports are extracted. Applications made using a paper form are captured and processed using a separate case-working system once they have been received. Paper-based applications were included for the first time in the EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics published in August 2020 after the integration of the two case-working systems. Revisions were made to the entire back series of monthly and quarterly figures to account for the 10,000 paper applications made to the EUSS through to 30 June 2020, providing a more comprehensive picture of EUSS applications received.

5. Development

Statistics are vital to support public debate and evaluation of government policies and programmes. The Home Office is continuing to work to improve these statistics to ensure they meet the needs of users.

5.1 User feedback

In line with the Code of Practice for Statistics, the Home Office openly invites feedback from users to continue developing the quality, usefulness and presentation of statistics on the EU Settlement Scheme.

Feedback is continuously sought across our suite of Home Office immigration statistics, alongside regular internal consultation, and external engagement through multiple stakeholder channels.

If you have any comments or suggestions for the development of these statistics, please provide feedback by emailing MigrationStatsEnquiries@homeoffice.gov.uk. Please include the words ‘EUSS PUBLICATION FEEDBACK’ in the subject of your email.

5.2 Repeat applications to the EUSS

Figures reported in the statistical publications account for applications to the system, including individuals making applications on more than one occasion. For example, an individual who has been granted pre-settled status can make a new application at a later stage for settled status. Equally, they can receive an outcome on one application and choose to withdraw another application. As these are separate applications with separate outcomes, they are counted as separate applications and outcomes in the statistics.

To continue to meet user needs and to better understand the number of applicants to the scheme, the Home Office has been exploring ways to identify repeat applications by individuals and their outcomes (e.g. those moving from pre-settled to settled status).

5.3 Data matching methodology

Data matching techniques have been developed and externally peer reviewed ^{[footnote 3]} to help identify the number of people who have made repeat applications to the EUSS. Applications are uploaded onto a Home Office database and to find applications that are from the same individual, a de-duplication process is required.

Unique identifiers were chosen to identify records that belong to the same person, which includes variables such as name, date of birth and ID document numbers.

The unique identifier fields were cleaned and made as uniform as possible - for example by capitalising names, to ensure matching was optimal. Both a deterministic (where there is an exact match) and a probabilistic approach (where a weight is given to how close or similar a match is) were used in the algorithm. This gave the methodology a more balanced approach of optimising the records that are matched but also minimising errors that can occur from the data matching process – such as creating ‘false matches’ or missing records that should be ‘true matches’.

Weights were created for each variable where a higher score was assigned on a unique field, such as ID document number and a lower score for variables such as date of birth, which can be shared by many people. A formal method for assigning scores was described by Fellegi and Sunter ^{[footnote 3]} (1969) which this scoring is based on.

A match score rate of 25 and above was agreed after extensive iteration and clerical review of the matched data. A clerical review was conducted by a team of reviewers, where a randomised sample of matched records (10%, which was around 9,000 records) were manually assessed to evaluate how well the matching algorithm performed. The results of the clerical review allowed for calculation of the overall accuracy rate.

Based on calculations measuring linkage accuracy ^{[footnote 4]} from the clerical review, an overall accuracy rate of 99.25% was calculated taking into consideration true positive and true negative match rates.

Following the matching process, a dataset was created where individuals were assigned a unique person ID allowing us to estimate the number of applicants to the scheme and their most recent outcomes.

5.4 Publication changes

Relating to the quarterly publication from the “June 2020” edition:

• Paper applications are included in the published figures
• Table EUSS_DR_01 (Derivative right to reside paper applications) is included in the quarterly statistics tables
• Table EUSS_MON (monthly tables) is included in the quarterly statistics tables

Relating to the monthly publication from the “February 2020” edition:

Table 2 (applications concluded) has now been aligned to the quarterly EUSS statistics format and been amended to show refused, withdrawn or void, and invalid outcomes separately. Previously these had been grouped together under ‘Other outcomes’. In addition, the table has been changed to display figures for these individual outcome types, rather than percentages.

Relating to the quarterly publication from the “March 2021” edition:

• Table EUSS_RA_01 is included in the quarterly statistics tables

Relating to the quarterly publication from the “June 2021” edition:

• Table EUSS_RA_02 is included in the quarterly statistics tables
• Tables EUSS_NON_EEA_01 and EUSS_NON_EEA_02 are included in the quarterly statistics tables

Relating to the quarterly publication from the “September 2021” edition:

• Tables EUSS_RA_03 and EUSS_RA_04 are included in the quarterly statistics tables
• Table EUSS_POST_30_JUNE is included in the quarterly statistics tables
• Table EUSS_LA_03 has expanded the ‘Other’ outcome category to show figures by Refusals, Withdrawn/void and Invalid by Local Authority

Relating to the quarterly publication from the “March 2022” edition:

• Table EUSS_POST_30_JUNE has expanded post 30 June 2021 applications by month and type

6. Other sources of information on immigration and migration

Published information relating to Home Office migration statistics can be found at: the Home Office Migration Statistics web page.

Published guidance for EUSS caseworkers can be found at: EU Settlement Scheme caseworker guidance.

The Impact Assessment for the EU Settlement Scheme (published March 2019) is available at: Impact Assessment for the EU Settlement Scheme March 2019.

EUSS Looked after children and care leavers latest survey was published in December 2021 and can be found at:EU Settlement Scheme – Home Office Looked After Children and Care Leavers Survey, 2020.

A further inspection of the EU Settlement Scheme July 2020 - March 2021 was published by the Independent Chief Inspector of Borders and Immigration in January 2022.

6.1 Comparisons with ONS population estimates

Figures in this publication refer specifically to flows of applications made to the EU Settlement Scheme, including repeat applications as people transition from pre-settled to settled status. These figures cannot be directly compared with estimates of the resident population of EU/EEA nationals in the UK. Figures in this report include non-EEA national family members, eligible EEA nationals not resident in the UK and some who may have subsequently left the UK. These are not usually included in estimates of the resident EU/EEA population, or the census where they are not in the UK. Furthermore, the population estimates do not take account of people’s migration intentions and will include people who have come to the UK for a range of purposes, including some who have no intention to settle in the UK.

On 2 July 2021, the Office for National Statistics published a blog discussing the non-comparability of population estimates and EUSS applications, and signposted users to their previous ‘Note on the difference between ONS population estimates by nationality and Home Office EU Settlement Scheme statistics’.

6.2 Home Office Impact Assessment

The estimate of EEA citizens and their family members eligible for the EUSS made for the Impact Assessment was primarily based on ONS Annual Population Survey (APS) data, which estimates the resident population, and therefore cannot be directly compared to applications made to the scheme. The Impact Assessment discusses in detail the assumptions, risks, uncertainties and exclusions surrounding its estimate of eligible citizens and made clear it should be considered as indicative and not as minimum and maximum estimates.

Home Office impact assessments are available at: Impact assessments covering migration policy - GOV.UK(www.gov.uk)

7. List of tables

This section provides a list of the tables published in the ‘EU Settlement Scheme monthly statistics and the ‘EU Settlement Scheme quarterly statistics’.

EU Settlement Scheme – monthly report (discontinued) contents

Table 1 - EU Settlement Scheme – applications received
Table 2 - EU Settlement Scheme – applications concluded
Table 3 - EU Settlement Scheme – applications received in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
Table 4 - EU Settlement Scheme – applications received by nationality

EU Settlement Scheme – quarterly report contents

EUSS_01 - Applications by UK country and nationality
EUSS_02 - Applications by nationality, age group and UK country
EUSS_03_UK - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality – UK total
EUSS_03_ENG - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality – England
EUSS_03_NIR - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality – Northern Ireland
EUSS_03_SCO - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality – Scotland
EUSS_03_WAL - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality – Wales
EUSS_04 - Concluded applications by outcome type, age group and UK country
EUSS_05 - Concluded applications by outcome type and UK country
EUSS_DR_01 - Derivative right to reside applications by route and outcome type
EUSS_RA_01 - Repeat applicants by number of applications submitted and current outcomes
EUSS_RA_02 - Repeat applicants by number of applications and nationality
EUSS_RA_03 - Repeat applicants by nationality and outcome
EUSS_RA_04 - Repeat applicants moving from pre-settled to settled status, by nationality
EUSS_POST_30_JUNE - Total applications recieved and concluded, by type and month
EUSS_MON - Monthly applications received and concluded, by outcome, UK country and nationality
EUSS_NON_EEA_01 - Applications received by nationality (non-EEA nationals)
EUSS_NON_EEA_02 - Concluded applications by outcome type and nationality (non-EEA nationals)

EUSS_LA_01 - Applications by nationality, region and local authority
EUSS_LA_02 - Applications by age group, region and local authority
EUSS_LA_03 - Concluded applications by outcome type, region and local authority

1. GSS/GSR Disclosure Control Guidance for Tables Produced from Administrative Sources ↩

2. Figures relate to the latest quarterly release. ↩

3. Fellegi.I & Sunter.A, 1969, A therory for recording linkage ↩ ↩²

4. Quality assessment in data linkage - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk) ↩