Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling on roadmap scenarios, 17 February 2021

Paper from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).


SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling on roadmap scenarios - 17 February 2021

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Paper from SPI-M-O summarising modelling on easing restrictions for England. It was considered at SAGE 81 on 18 February 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read alongside the following papers also released under SAGE 81:

Earlier SPI-M-O statements on modelling on easing restrictions were discussed at SAGE 79 and SAGE 80:

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 22 February 2021
Last updated 13 May 2022 + show all updates
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  2. First published.