Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling on easing restrictions, 3 February 2021

Statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O).


SPI-M-O: Summary of modelling on easing restrictions, 3 February 2021

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Paper by SPI-M-O summarising modelling on easing restrictions. It was considered at SAGE 79 4 February 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read alongside the papers from Warwick and Imperial, also released under SAGE 79. It should also be read alongside previous SPI-M-O statements from SAGE 72 and SAGE 76.

Updated SPI-M-O statements on modelling on easing restrictions were also discussed at SAGE 80 and SAGE 81:

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Redactions in this document have been made to remove any security markings.

Published 22 February 2021
Last updated 20 May 2022 + show all updates
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