Research and analysis

National Minimum Wage: impact on earnings, employment and hours in the recession. Bryan, Salvatori, Taylor

An study of National Minimum Wage (NMW) increases before, during and after the recession.


This report looks at NMW increases during the recession and immediately afterwards (2008-2010). It compares them with the impacts estimated for 2003 to 2007.

The study, made for the Low Pay Commission by the Institute for Social and Economic Research, concentrates on 3 outcomes:

  • employment retention
  • changes in working hours among employees
  • the job-finding probability of the unemployed