Collection

Forecasts for the UK economy

Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.

Please note that Forecasts for the UK economy is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.

No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.

If your institution is interested in contributing their forecasts to the publication please reach out to Abigail.Tang@hmtreasury.gov.uk.

Please email HM Treasury or call 020 7270 5000 for more information.

If you have any queries regarding official forecasts please contact the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Forecasts for the UK economy is published on the third Wednesday of every month.

In line with Cabinet Office guidance and the precedent from previous elections, we will not be publishing the Forecasts for the UK Economy during the pre-election period. Therefore, the June edition will be published after the General Election on the 4th of July. We will confirm the precise date after the 4th of July.

The July edition, as it is scheduled to come out after the election, will commence as usual, being published on the 17th of July.

Database of forecasts

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

2015

2014

2013

2012

Updates to this page

Published 16 October 2013
Last updated 18 September 2024 + show all updates
  1. Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2024 added.

  2. Contact email address updated.

  3. Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2024 added

  4. Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2024 and Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2024 added.

  5. Due to the general election on 4 July 2024 there will be no publication of Forecasts for the UK Economy in June. The June publication will be released shortly after the election whilst the July edition will continue as planned with publication on the 17th of July.

  6. Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2024 added

  7. Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2024 added

  8. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2024 added

  9. Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2024 added

  10. Forecasts for January 2024 added.

  11. 'Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2023' added.

  12. Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2023 added

  13. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2023.

  14. Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2023 added and contact email updated

  15. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2023.

  16. Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2023 added

  17. Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2023 added

  18. Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2023 added

  19. Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2023 added

  20. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2023 added

  21. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2023.

  22. Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2023 added

  23. Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2022 added

  24. Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2022 added

  25. Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2022 added

  26. Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2022 added

  27. Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2022 added

  28. Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2022 added

  29. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2022.

  30. Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2022 added

  31. Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2022 added

  32. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2022 added

  33. Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2022 added

  34. Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2022 added

  35. Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2021 added

  36. Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2021 added

  37. Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2021 added

  38. Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2021 added

  39. Added: 'Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2021'

  40. delay note for August forecast

  41. Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2021 added

  42. Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2021 added

  43. Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2021 added

  44. Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2021 added

  45. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2021 added

  46. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2021

  47. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2021.

  48. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2020.

  49. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2020

  50. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2020.

  51. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2020'.

  52. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2020'.

  53. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2020'.

  54. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2020'.

  55. Update with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2020'.

  56. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2020'.

  57. Updated with notice: Due to the Bank Holiday timings, April’s ‘Forecasts for the UK Economy’ will now be published on Thursday 16 April. This is to allow for a sufficient compilation period.

  58. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2020'.

  59. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2020'.

  60. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2020'.

  61. 'Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2019' published.

  62. Updated information: 'Due to the general election on 12 December there will be no publication of Forecasts for the UK Economy in November. The next publication will be on the 18th December covering both short and medium term forecasts'.

  63. Updated with October forecasts

  64. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2019'.

  65. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2019'.

  66. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2019'.

  67. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2019'.

  68. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2019'.

  69. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2019'.

  70. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2019.

  71. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2019.

  72. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2019'.

  73. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2018'.

  74. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2018'.

  75. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2018'.

  76. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2018'.

  77. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: August 2018

  78. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2018'.

  79. Updated with 'Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2018'.

  80. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2018

  81. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: April 2018

  82. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2018 and the forecast database.

  83. Updated with link to database of forecasts for the UK economy

  84. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2018

  85. Updated with publication date for documents.

  86. Updated with January 2018 forecasts.

  87. Updated with December forecasts

  88. Updated with forecasts for the UK economy: November 2017

  89. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2017

  90. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2017

  91. Updated with forecasts for the UK economy: August 2017

  92. July forecasts added

  93. Updated to include: Forecasts for the UK economy June 2017

  94. Updated to include: Forecasts for the UK economy April 2017

  95. Updated to include: Forecasts for the UK economy

  96. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: February 2017

  97. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: January 2017

  98. Updated to include: Forecasts for the UK economy: December 2016

  99. Updated with: Forecasts for the UK economy: November 2016

  100. Updated: Forecasts for the UK economy: October 2016

  101. Updated: Forecasts for the UK economy: September 2016

  102. August forecasts added.

  103. Updated: Forecasts for the UK economy: July 2016

  104. Updated with the Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2016

  105. Updated with Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2016

  106. Updated with April 2016

  107. Updated with latest edition

  108. Latest Forecast

  109. Updated to include January 2016

  110. Updated to include December 2015 edition

  111. Updated to include November 2015 edition

  112. October edition published

  113. August 2015 amendment

  114. Updated to include September 2015 edition

  115. Updated to include August 2015

  116. Updated to include July 2015

  117. Forecasts for June 2015 added

  118. updated with may edition

  119. April edition published

  120. March edition published

  121. Date of next forecast changed

  122. February edition published

  123. added January edition

  124. added December edition

  125. added November edition

  126. Updated to include October's edition

  127. September 2014 forecast added

  128. August edition added

  129. Added July 2014 forecasts.

  130. added June edition

  131. added Forecasts for the UK economy: May 2014

  132. April edition of Forecasts for the UK economy published

  133. March 2014 release added

  134. February 2014 release added

  135. added january forecast

  136. Updated for December

  137. First published.