National statistics

UK House Price Index Wales: February 2020

Published 22 April 2020

Applies to England and Wales

1. Headline statistics for February 2020

the average price of a property in Wales was

£164,435

the annual price change of a property for Wales was

3.4%

the monthly price change of a property for Wales was

1.2%

the index figure for Wales (January 2015 = 100) was

120.8

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read the revision policies.

Next publication of UK HPI

The March 2020 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 20 May 2020. See the calendar of release dates.

2. Economic statement

Wales house prices increased by 3.4% in the year to February 2020, up from 2.5% in the year to January 2020. Wales house prices were growing faster than UK annual rate of 1.1% in the year to February 2020. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis average house prices in Wales increased by 1.2% between January 2020 and February 2020, compared with an increase of 0.3% during the same period a year earlier (January 2019 and February 2019). On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in Wales increased by 1.3% between January 2020 and February 2020.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for December 2018 with the provisional estimate for December 2019, volume transactions decreased by 3.1% in Wales, from 3,727 to 3,610. UK volume transactions increased by 0.7%, from 78,279 to 78,806, over the same period.

In Wales, 17 out of 22 local authority areas showed an increase in average prices in February 2020 when compared with February 2019. Merthyr Tydfil and Neath Port Talbot showed the strongest growth, rising by 11.5% to £133,643 and 9.3% to £122,557 in the year to February 2020.

Of all property types, terraced houses showed the biggest annual growth, rising by 4.5% in the year to February 2020 to £128,518. The smallest annual growth of all property types was for flats and maisonettes, with a decrease of 0.1% in the year to February 2020 to £113,397.

As with other indicators in the housing market, which typically fluctuate from month to month, it is important not to put too much weight on one month’s set of house price data.

3. Price change

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for Wales over the past 5 years

A chart showing the annual price change for Wales over the past 5 years.

In Wales, average prices increased by 3.4% in the year to February 2020 (up from 2.5% in January 2020).

Annual price change by local authority for Wales

Low numbers of sales transactions in some local authorities can lead to volatility in the series.

While we make efforts to account for this volatility, the change in price in these local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties sold in any given period.

Geographies with low number of sales transactions should be analysed in the context of their longer-term trends rather than focusing on monthly movements.

Local authorities February 2020 February 2019 Difference
Blaenau Gwent £93,785 £90,610 3.5%
Bridgend £155,020 £147,886 4.8%
Caerphilly £136,507 £134,601 1.4%
Cardiff £208,329 £207,985 0.2%
Carmarthenshire £151,886 £145,279 4.5%
Ceredigion £192,655 £187,129 3.0%
Conwy £164,653 £165,177 -0.3%
Denbighshire £154,351 £154,352 0.0%
Flintshire £177,678 £164,414 8.1%
Gwynedd £159,481 £155,659 2.5%
Isle of Anglesey £181,660 £173,657 4.6%
Merthyr Tydfil £113,643 £101,917 11.5%
Monmouthshire £266,882 £273,378 -2.4%
Neath Port Talbot £122,557 £112,104 9.3%
Newport £190,758 £180,687 5.6%
Pembrokeshire £177,136 £171,900 3.0%
Powys £177,931 £187,027 -4.9%
Rhondda Cynon Taf £118,029 £110,756 6.6%
Swansea £150,318 £148,252 1.4%
Torfaen £147,514 £144,191 2.3%
Vale of Glamorgan £237,911 £225,478 5.5%
Wrexham £152,741 £155,543 -1.8%
Wales £164,435 £159,018 3.4%

Average price by local authority for Wales

The heat map is unavailable due to the impact the ongoing coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has had on operational services.

In February 2020, the most expensive area to purchase a property was Monmouthshire, where the average cost was £267,000. In contrast, the cheapest area to purchase a property was Blaenau Gwent, where the average cost was £94,000.

3.2 Average price change by property type

Average price change by property type for Wales

Property type February 2020 February 2019 Difference
Detached £247,282 £240,555 2.8%
Semi-detached £158,811 £153,069 3.8%
Terraced £128,518 £122,989 4.5%
Flat or maisonette £113,397 £113,459 -0.1%
All £164,435 £159,018 3.4%

4. Sales volumes

The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes by local authority

Sales volumes for Wales by local authority

Local authorities December 2019 December 2018
Blaenau Gwent 69 90
Bridgend 187 272
Caerphilly 199 199
Cardiff 419 504
Carmarthenshire 236 255
Ceredigion 85 75
Conwy 158 187
Denbighshire 116 122
Flintshire 179 229
Gwynedd 146 141
Isle of Anglesey 71 89
Merthyr Tydfil 66 71
Monmouthshire 94 129
Neath Port Talbot 146 170
Newport 164 239
Pembrokeshire 180 203
Powys 136 176
Rhondda Cynon Taf 283 290
Swansea 247 284
Torfaen 124 175
Vale of Glamorgan 186 192
Wrexham 118 154
Wales 3,610 4,255

Note: The estimate for December 2019 is calculated based on around 85% of the final registered transactions. The number of property transactions for December 2019 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for December 2018 with the provisional estimate for December 2019, volume transactions decreased by 3.1% in Wales.

UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period) report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, volume transactions decreased by 1.0% in Wales in the year to December 2019.

4.2 Sales volumes

Sales volumes for Wales over the past 5 years

Date Sales volumes for Wales
December 2015 4,129
December 2016 4,581
December 2017 4,659
December 2018 4,255
December 2019 3,610

5. Property status

Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent two months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.

New build and existing resold property for Wales

Property status Average price December 2019 Monthly change Annual change
New build £217,423 0.5% 1.7%
Existing resold property £163,423 -1.7% 2.7%

Note: Since the October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status

First time buyer and former owner occupier for Wales

Type of buyer Average price February 2020 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £142,019 1.4% 3.4%
Former owner occupier £190,543 0.9% 3.4%

7. Funding status

Cash and mortgage indicator for Wales

Funding status Average price February 2020 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £159,685 1.6% 3.4%
Mortgage £167,277 0.9% 3.5%

8. Repossession sales volume

Due to a period of 2 weeks to 2 months between completion and registration of sales, repossession volume figures for the most recent 2 months are not yet complete, so they are not included in the report.

Repossession sales volume

Country Repossession sales volume December 2019
Wales 46

9. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

10. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

11. Contact for Wales queries

Eileen Morrison, Data Services Team Leader, HM Land Registry

Email eileen.morrison@landregistry.gov.uk

Telephone 0300 006 5288