National statistics

UK House Price Index Wales: August 2018

Published 17 October 2018

Applies to Wales

1. Headline statistics for August 2018

the average price of a property in Wales was

£162,374

the annual price change of a property for Wales was

6.2%

the monthly price change of a property for Wales was

1.9%

the index figure for Wales (January 2015 = 100) was

119.3

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read the revision policies.

Next publication of UK HPI

The September 2018 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 14 November 2018. See the calendar of release dates.

2. Economic statement

Wales house prices grew by 6.2% in the year to August 2018, up from 5.5% in the year to July 2018. Wales house prices are growing faster than the UK annual rate of 3.2% in the year to August 2018. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis average house prices in Wales increased by 1.9% between July 2018 and August 2018, compared with an increase of 1.2% during the same period a year earlier. On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in Wales increased by 1.3% between July 2018 and August 2018.

The Land Transaction Tax statistics showed that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, in the 3 months to August 2018, the number of transactions on residential properties with a value of £40,000 or greater in Wales was 15,020. This is down 1.0% compared to the 3 months to August 2017 as published in UK Property Transaction Statistics.Some caution is advised in comparing the series over this period as slightly different methodologies may be applied by the different organisations.

In Wales, terraced houses showed the biggest increase, rising by 7.2% in the year to August 2018 to £127,000. The average price of flats and maisonettes increased by 4.6% in the year to August 2018 to £117,000, the lowest increase of all property types.

House prices have increased over the last year in 19 out of 22 local authority areas. Monmouthshire and Newport showed the strongest growth, increasing by 14.0% to £272, 000 and 13.7% to £181,000 in the year to August 2018.

As with other indicators in the Housing Market, which typically fluctuate from month to month, it is important not to put too much weight on one month’s set of house price data.

3. Price change

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for Wales over the past 5 years

Annual price change for Wales over the past 5 years

In Wales, the average price increased by 6.2% in the year to August 2018 (up from 5.5% in July 2018).

Annual price change by local authority for Wales

Low numbers of sales transactions in some local authorities can lead to volatility in the series.

While we make efforts to account for this volatility, the change in price in these local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties sold in any given period.

Geographies with low number of sales transactions should be analysed in the context of their longer-term trends rather than focusing on monthly movements.

Local authorities August 2018 August 2017 Difference
Blaenau Gwent £87,546 £83,386 5.0%
Bridgend £145,980 £147,439 -1.0%
Caerphilly £134,286 £125,978 6.6%
Cardiff £210,975 £197,441 6.9%
Carmarthenshire £144,119 £136,699 5.4%
Ceredigion £178,427 £184,236 -3.2%
Conwy £157,815 £160,103 -1.4%
Denbighshire £157,688 £144,066 9.5%
Flintshire £167,867 £161,134 4.2%
Gwynedd £149,355 £148,280 0.7%
Isle of Anglesey £170,690 £162,123 5.3%
Merthyr Tydfil £102,503 £97,603 5.0%
Monmouthshire £272,170 £238,659 14.0%
Neath Port Talbot £114,506 £109,461 4.6%
Newport £181,354 £159,446 13.7%
Pembrokeshire £169,262 £161,119 5.1%
Powys £182,258 £174,810 4.3%
Rhondda Cynon Taf £112,598 £106,121 6.1%
Swansea £147,949 £144,428 2.4%
Torfaen £145,480 £130,003 11.9%
Vale of Glamorgan £229,132 £210,618 8.8%
Wrexham £156,349 £153,246 2.0%
Wales £162,374 £152,859 6.2%

Average price by local authority for Wales

Average price by local authority for Wales

In August 2018, the most expensive area to live in was Monmouthshire, where the cost of an average house was £272,000. In contrast, the cheapest area to purchase a property was Blaenau Gwent, where an average house cost £88,000.

3.2 Average price change by property type

Average price change by property type for Wales

Property type August 2018 August 2017 Difference
Detached £241,030 £229,969 4.8%
Semi-detached £157,283 £146,810 7.1%
Terraced £126,861 £118,292 7.2%
Flat or maisonette £117,111 £111,972 4.6%
All £162,374 £152,859 6.2%

4. Sales volumes

The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes by local authority

Sales volumes for Wales by local authority

Local authorities June 2018 June 2017 Difference
Blaenau Gwent 76 71 7.0%
Bridgend 184 235 -21.7%
Caerphilly 184 285 -35.4%
Cardiff 442 561 -21.2%
Carmarthenshire 204 291 -29.9%
Ceredigion 74 102 -27.5%
Conwy 165 201 -17.9%
Denbighshire 116 135 -14.1%
Flintshire 157 213 -26.3%
Gwynedd 139 134 3.7%
Isle of Anglesey 79 70 12.9%
Merthyr Tydfil 47 85 -44.7%
Monmouthshire 117 154 -24.0%
Neath Port Talbot 187 171 9.4%
Newport 211 357 -40.9%
Pembrokeshire 132 169 -21.9%
Powys 171 175 -2.3%
Rhondda Cynon Taf 289 357 -19.0%
Swansea 289 359 -19.5%
Torfaen 119 115 3.5%
Vale of Glamorgan 173 258 -32.9%
Wrexham 115 191 -39.8%
Wales 3,753 4,691 -20.0%

Note: The annual % change in the ‘Difference’ column will be influenced primarily by level of completeness of the latest month’s data reported and does not necessarily reflect the genuine trends.

4.2 Sales volumes

Sales volumes for Wales over the past 5 years

Date Sales volumes for Wales
June 2014 3,849
June 2015 4,052
June 2016 3,812
June 2017 4,691
June 2018 3,753

5. Property status

Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent two months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.

New build and existing resold property for Wales

Property status Average price June 2018 Monthly change Annual change
New build £212,007 3.4% 10.2%
Existing resold property £153,947 1.3% 4.2%

Note: since the October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status

First time buyer and former owner occupier for Wales

Type of buyer Average price August 2018 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £140,634 2.3% 6.5%
Former owner occupier £187,598 1.4% 6.0%

7. Funding status

Cash and mortgage indicator for Wales

Funding status Average price August 2018 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £156,605 1.2% 4.9%
Mortgage £165,809 2.3% 7.0%

8. Repossession sales volume

Due to a period of 2 to 8 weeks between completion and registration of sales, repossession volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet complete, so they are not included in the report.

Repossession sales volume

Country Repossession sales volume June 2018
Wales 57

9. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

10. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

11. Contact for Wales queries

Eileen Morrison, Data Services Team Leader, HM Land Registry

Email eileen.morrison@landregistry.gov.uk

Telephone 0300 006 5288