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This publication is available at https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/uk-house-price-index-summary-september-2018/uk-house-price-index-summary-september-2018
1. Headline statistics for September 2018
the average price of a property in the UK was
the annual price change for a property in the UK was
the monthly price change for a property in the UK was
the monthly index figure (January 2015 = 100) for the UK was
Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data.
Next publication of UK HPI
The October 2018 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 19 December 2018. See the calendar of release dates.
2. Economic statement
UK house prices rose by 3.5% in the year to September 2018, up from 3.1% in the year to August 2018. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK were unchanged (0.0%) between August 2018 and September 2018, compared with a fall of 0.4% in average prices during the same period a year earlier (August 2017 and September 2017).
House prices grew fastest in the West Midlands region increasing by 6.1% in the year to September 2018, closely followed by the East Midlands which increased by 6.0% over the year. House prices in London fell by 0.3% in the year to September 2018. London house price have been falling over the year since March 2018.
The Bank of England November inflation report highlights that the slowdown in the London market since mid 2016 is probably due to the area being disproportionately affected by regulatory and tax changes, and also by lower net migration from the EU.
The Bank of England’s Agents’ summary of business conditions for 2018 Quarter 3 reported that the housing market appeared to have softened a little with few transactions and weaker price inflation in many areas. Sales of lower-priced new-build houses continued to be supported by the Help-to-Buy scheme.
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) UK Residential Market Survey for September 2018 reports a slight weakening in national new buyer demand for the second successive report, having remained relatively stable over the four months prior to this. On the supply side, the newly agreed sales net balance has remained negative across the UK. In line with this, their sales expectations series is negative for the next 12 months on a UK wide basis.
The UK Property Transactions Statistics for September 2018 showed that on a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of transactions on residential properties with a value of £40,000 or greater was 98,400. This is 2.7% lower compared to a year ago. Between August and September 2018, transactions fell by 0.5%.
The Bank of England’s Money and Credit release showed that the number of mortgages approved for house purchases was broadly unchanged at 65,000 in September 2018. Mortgage approvals are seen to be a leading indicator of transactions volumes.
3. Price changes
3.1 Annual price change
Annual price change for UK by country over the past 5 years
Download this chart’s data (CSV, 1KB)
Average house prices in the UK increased by 3.5% in the year to September 2018 (up from 3.1% in August 2018).
At the country level, the largest annual price growth was recorded in Wales and Scotland, both increasing by 5.8% over the year to September 2018.
In England, the average price increased by 3.0% over the year.
The average price in Northern Ireland increased by 4.8% over the year to quarter 3 (July to Sep) 2018.
3.2 Average price by country and government office region
Price, monthly change and annual change by country and government office region
|Country and government office region||Price||Monthly change||Annual change|
|Northern Ireland (Quarter 3 - 2018)||£135,060||2.3%||4.8%|
|East of England||£294,027||-0.1%||2.0%|
|West Midlands Region||£199,763||1.1%||6.1%|
|Yorkshire and The Humber||£162,009||-1.1%||2.6%|
Price changes by country and government office region
On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK were unchanged (0%) between August 2018 and September 2018, compared with a decrease of 0.4% in average prices during the same period a year earlier (August 2017 and September 2017). On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK increased by 0.3% between August 2018 and September 2018.
Note that the Northern Ireland figure represents a three-month change and is not comparable with the other regions and countries.
3.3 Average price by property type
Average monthly price by property type
|Property type||September 2018||September 2017||Difference|
|Flat or maisonette||£203,374||£203,910||-0.3%|
4. Sales volumes
The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.
Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.
4.1 Sales volumes
Number of sales volumes by country
|Country||July 2018||July 2017||Difference|
|Northern Ireland (Quarter 3 - 2018)||5,722||6,533||-12.4%|
Note: The annual % change in the ‘Difference’ column will be influenced primarily by level of completeness of the latest month’s data reported and does not necessarily reflect the genuine trends.
The estimate for July 2018 is calculated based on around 85% of the final registered transactions. The number of property transactions for July 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index.
Comparing the provisional volume estimate for July 2017 to the provisional estimate for July 2018, volume transactions fell by 1.3% in England and increased by 0.5% in Scotland, 2.9% in Wales and 4.9% in Northern Ireland.
UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period), report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, volume transactions fell by 2.9% in England, 13.2% in Scotland and increased by 3.0% in Wales in the year to July 2018.
4.2 Sales volumes for the UK over the past 5 years
Sales volumes for 2014 to 2018 by country: July
In July 2018, the number of property transactions completed in the UK decreased by 15.1% when compared to July 2017. Compared to June 2018, the number of property transactions completed in the UK decreased by 9.2%. The estimate for July 2018 is calculated based on around 85% of the final registered transactions. The number of property transactions for July 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index. See our Revisions Policy for more information.
Comparing the provisional volume estimate for July 2017 to the provisional estimate for July 2018, volume transactions fell by 0.5%.
UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period), report that on a seasonally adjusted basis, UK volume transactions fell by 6.4% in the year to July 2018.
5. Property status for UK
Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent 2 months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.
New build and existing resold property
|Property Status||Average price July 2018||Monthly change||Annual change|
|Existing resold property||£227,522||1.3%||2.9%|
Note: since October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.
6. Buyer status for Great Britain
First time buyer and former owner occupier
For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for buyer status.
|Type of buyer||Average price September 2018||Monthly change||Annual change|
|First time buyer||£195,404||-0.4%||2.9%|
|Former owner occupier||£270,806||0.3%||3.9%|
7. Funding status for Great Britain
Cash and mortgage
For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for funding status.
|Funding status||Average price September 2018||Monthly change||Annual change|
8. Access the data
9. About the UK House Price Index
The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.
Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.
Find out more about the UK House Price Index.
David Lockett, Product Manager, HM Land Registry
Telephone 0300 0068317
Rhys Lewis, Head of Housing Market Indices, Office for National Statistics
Telephone 01633 456400
Ciara Cunningham, Statistician for the Northern Ireland HPI
Telephone 028 90 336035
Ailsa Robertson, Land & Property Data Team Manager, Registers of Scotland
Telephone 0131 659 6111 Ext. 6387