National statistics

UK House Price Index summary: November 2018

Published 16 January 2019

1. Headline statistics for November 2018

the average price of a property in the UK was

£230,630

the annual price change for a property in the UK was

2.8%

the monthly price change for a property in the UK was

-0.1%

the monthly index figure (January 2015 = 100) for the UK was

121.0

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data.

Next publication of UK HPI

The December 2018 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 13 February 2019. See the calendar of release dates.

2. Economic statement

UK house prices grew by 2.8% in the year to November 2018, up slightly from 2.7% in the year to October 2018. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK fell by 0.1% between October 2018 and November 2018, compared with a decrease of 0.3% in average prices during the same period a year earlier (October 2017 and November 2017).

The strongest annual growth in house prices was in the West Midlands, increasing by 4.6% in the year to November 2018. House prices in London fell by 0.7% in the year to November 2018. London house prices have been falling over the year each month since July 2018.

The Bank of England’s Agents’ summary of business conditions for 2018 Q4 reported that along with low supply of houses, demand was also falling. Housing activity in southern England was muted due to uncertainty, with transactions postponed until after the European Union withdrawal. The demand for new build houses remained stronger outside London, in part due to housebuilders offering more incentive to finalise sales.

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) UK Residential Market Survey for November 2018 reported a weaker trend in sales market activity, with headline indicators on both demand and supply edging further into negative territory. They report subdued activity in almost all areas of the UK, mainly driven by Brexit uncertainty and a lack of fresh stock.

The UK Property Transactions Statistics for November 2018 report that on a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of transactions on residential properties with a value of £40,000 or greater was 100,930, 0.5% lower compared with the same period a year ago. Between October 2018 and November 2018, transactions increased by 0.1%.

The Bank of England’s Money and Credit latest release showed that the number of mortgages approved for house purchases decreased over the year to November 2018 by 1.7% to 63,700. Mortgage approvals are seen to be a leading indicator of transactions volumes.

3. Price changes

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for UK by country over the past 5 years

Annual price change for UK by country over the past 5 years

Average house prices in the UK increased by 2.8% in the year to November 2018 (up slightly from 2.7% in October 2018).

At the country level, the largest annual price growth was recorded in Wales, increasing by 5.5% over the year to November 2018.

Scotland saw house prices increase by 2.9% over the last 12 months.

In England, the average price increased by 2.6% over the year.

The average price in Northern Ireland increased by 4.8% over the year to quarter 3 (July to September) 2018.

3.2 Average price by country and government office region

Price, monthly change and annual change by country and government office region

Country and government office region Price Monthly change Annual change
England £247,430 -0.1% 2.6%
Northern Ireland (Quarter 3 - 2018) £135,060 2.3% 4.8%
Scotland £150,638 -0.7% 2.9%
Wales £161,499 0.2% 5.5%
East Midlands £192,061 0.3% 4.4%
East of England £294,530 0.8% 2.6%
London £472,901 -1.2% -0.7%
North East £132,257 1.2% 4.0%
North West £162,717 -0.6% 3.1%
South East £323,876 -0.1% 1.1%
South West £260,177 1.1% 4.3%
West Midlands Region £197,387 -0.4% 4.6%
Yorkshire and The Humber £160,155 -1.3% 2.0%

Price changes by country and government office region

Price changes by country and government office region

On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK decreased by 0.1% between October 2018 and November 2018, compared with a decrease of 0.3% in average prices during the same period a year earlier (October 2017 and November 2017). On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK increased by 0.1% between October 2018 and November 2018.

Note that the Northern Ireland figure represents a three-month change and is not comparable with the other regions and countries.

3.3 Average price by property type

Average monthly price by property type

Property type November 2018 November 2017 Difference
Detached £350,317 £337,928 3.7%
Semi-detached £217,986 £210,691 3.5%
Terraced £188,131 £180,977 4.0%
Flat or maisonette £202,663 £203,530 -0.4%
All £230,630 £224,287 2.8%

4. Sales volumes

The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes

Number of sales volumes by country

Country September 2018 September 2017
England 59,691 78,082
Northern Ireland (Quarter 3 - 2018) 5,722 6,533
Scotland 8,472 9,603
Wales 3,494 4,424

Note: The ‘Difference’ column has been removed from this table as the latest month’s data are not yet complete.

The estimate for September 2018 is calculated based on around 85% of the final registered transactions. The number of property transactions for September 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for September 2017 to the provisional estimate for September 2018, volume transactions decreased by 7.9% in England, 9.1% in Scotland and 7.7% in Wales and increased by 4.9% in Northern Ireland.

UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period), report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, volume transactions decreased by 10.6% in England, 10.6% in Scotland and 9.4% in Wales in the year to September 2018.

4.2 Sales volumes for the UK over the past 5 years

Sales volumes for 2014 to 2018 by country: September

Sales volumes for 2014 to 2018 by country: September

The estimate for September 2018 is calculated based on around 85% of the final registered transactions. The number of property transactions for September 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index. See our Revisions Policy for more information.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for September 2017 to the provisional estimate for September 2018, volume transactions decreased by 7.2%.

UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period) report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, UK volume transactions decreased by 10.6% in the year to September 2018.

5. Property status for UK

Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent 2 months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.

New build and existing resold property

Property status Average price September 2018 Monthly change Annual change
New build £290,434 -2.0% 5.7%
Existing resold property £228,052 -0.1% 3.1%

Note: since October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status for Great Britain

First time buyer and former owner occupier

For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for buyer status.

Type of buyer Average price November 2018 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £194,324 -0.1% 2.5%
Former owner occupier £267,764 -0.2% 3.0%

7. Funding status for Great Britain

Cash and mortgage

For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for funding status.

Funding status Average price November 2018 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £219,896 -0.2% 2.6%
Mortgage £240,489 -0.1% 2.9%

8. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

9. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

10. Contact

Eileen Morrison, Data Services Team Leader, HM Land Registry

Email eileen.morrison@landregistry.gov.uk

Telephone 0300 006 5288

Aimee North, Head of Housing Market Indices, Office for National Statistics

Email aimee.north@ons.gov.uk

Telephone 01633 456400

Ciara Cunningham, Statistician for the Northern Ireland HPI

Email ciara.cunningham@finance-ni.gov.uk

Telephone 028 90 336035

Anne MacDonald, Land & Property Data Team, Registers of Scotland

Email Anne.MacDonald@ros.gov.uk

Telephone 0131 378 4991