Official Statistics

UK House Price Index summary: May 2018

Published 18 July 2018

1. Headline statistics for May 2018

the average price of a property in the UK was

£226,351

the annual price change for a property in the UK was

3.0%

the monthly price change for a property in the UK was

0.1%

the monthly index figure (January 2015 = 100) for the UK was

118.7

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data.

Next publication of UK HPI

The June 2018 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 15 August 2018. See the calendar of release dates.

2. Economic statement

UK house prices rose by 3.0% in the year to May 2018, down from 3.5% in the year to April 2018. This is the lowest UK annual rate since August 2013 when it was also 3.0%

Looking at the demand for housing, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors’ (RICS) UK Residential Market Survey for May 2018 revealed their new buyer enquiries series continued its downward trend.

On the supply side, RICS reported their new instructions series showed a positive balance for the first time in 27 months. Average stock levels for estate agents remain near a record low. Sales expectations are flat in the short term but slightly more optimistic in the long term. Price expectations point to a marginal decline in the near term, though this is mainly driven by a negative outlook in the south of England. The longer-term outlook for prices is positive.

In the Bank of England’s Agents’ summary of business conditions for the period covering late March 2018 to late May 2018, Agents reported supply and demand were broadly in balance across the whole market. The market for new builds was much stronger than the market for existing properties. However, there were some reports suggesting that new builds are becoming more difficult to sell compared to a year ago. Activity is expected to remain subdued and house price inflation to remain modest.

The UK Property Transaction Statistics for May 2018 showed that on a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of transactions on residential properties with a value of £40,000 or greater was 99,590. This is 0.5% lower compared to a year ago. Between April and May 2018, transactions increased by 0.8%.

The Bank of England’s Money and Credit statistics for May 2018 showed that on a seasonally adjusted basis, 64,526 mortgages were approved in May 2018. This is a decrease of 2.1% compared to a year ago, and an increase of 2.5% from April 2018. Mortgage approvals are seen to be a leading indicator of transactions volumes.

Looking at the regional level, the East Midlands was the fastest growing region with an annual house price growth rate of 6.3%, up from 5.1% in the previous month. London was the slowest growing region, falling by 0.4% in the year to May 2018, down from 0.3% in the previous month. This is the 4th consecutive month that London house prices have fallen over the year.

3. Price changes

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for UK by country over the past 5 years

Annual price change for UK by country over the past 5 years

Average house prices in the UK increased by 3.0% in the year to May 2018 (down from 3.5% in April 2018).

At the country level, the largest annual price growth was recorded in Scotland, where house prices increased by 4.9% over the year to May 2018.

Wales saw house prices increase by 1.0% over the last 12 months.

In England, the average price increased by 2.9% over the year.

The average price in Northern Ireland increased by 4.2% over the year to quarter 1 (January to March) 2018.

3.2 Average price by country and government office region

Price, monthly change and annual change by country and government office region

Country and government office region Price Monthly change Annual change
England £243,583 0.3% 2.9%
Northern Ireland (Quarter 1 - 2018) £130,026 0.3% 4.2%
Scotland £149,004 0.1% 4.9%
Wales £148,894 -3.0% 1.0%
East Midlands £190,216 1.7% 6.3%
East of England £288,808 0.2% 2.4%
London £478,853 0.1% -0.4%
North East £128,680 -0.5% 1.3%
North West £157,531 0.1% 2.9%
South East £322,096 0.0% 2.2%
South West £251,877 0.1% 3.9%
West Midlands Region £192,322 0.2% 5.0%
Yorkshire and The Humber £158,966 1.0% 2.9%

Price changes by country and government office region

Price changes by country and government office region

On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in the UK decreased by 0.2% between April 2018 and May 2018, compared with an increase of 0.4% in average prices during the same period a year earlier (April 2017 and May 2017). In the 3 months to May 2018 average house prices increased by 0.2% compared with the 3 months ending February 2018.

Note that the Northern Ireland figure represents a three-month change and is not comparable with the other regions and countries.

3.3 Average price by property type

Average monthly price by property type

Property type May 2018 May 2017 Difference
Detached £343,823 £328,607 4.6%
Semi-detached £213,606 £205,953 3.7%
Terraced £182,373 £176,879 3.1%
Flat or maisonette £202,696 £202,652 0.0%
All £226,351 £219,792 3.0%

4. Sales volumes

Due to a period of 2 to 8 weeks between completion and registration of sales, volume figures for the most recent two months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes

Number of sales volumes by country

Country March 2018 March 2017 Difference
England 58,203 74,386 -21.8%
Northern Ireland (Quarter 1 - 2018) 4,545 5,187 -12.4%
Scotland 7,861 9,364 -16.1%
Wales 3,368 3,909 -13.8%

The estimate for March 2018 is calculated based on around 90% of the final registered transactions. It is likely that the number of property transactions for March 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index.

4.2 Sales volumes for the UK over the past 5 years

Sales volumes for 2014 to 2018 by country: February

Sales volumes for 2014 to 2018 by country: February

In March 2018, the number of property transactions completed in the UK decreased by 20.3% when compared to March 2017. Compared to February 2018, the number of property transactions completed in the UK increased by 9.3%.

The estimate for March 2018 is calculated based on around 90% of the final registered transactions. It is likely that the number of property transactions for March 2018 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index.

See our revisions policy for more information.

5. Property status for UK

New build and existing resold property

Property Status Average price March 2018 Monthly change Annual change
New build £285,072 -2.1% 7.0%
Existing resold property £219,932 -0.2% 4.0%

Note: since October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status for Great Britain

First time buyer and former owner occupier

For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for buyer status.

Type of buyer Average price May 2018 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £190,743 0.0% 2.4%
Former owner occupier £262,996 0.3% 3.5%

7. Funding status for Great Britain

Cash and mortgage

For Great Britain only, Northern Ireland data is not available for funding status.

Funding status Average price May 2018 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £215,765 0.2% 2.8%
Mortgage £236,212 0.1% 3.1%

8. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

9. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

10. Contact

Eileen Morrison, Data Services Team Leader, HM Land Registry

Email eileen.morrison@landregistry.gov.uk

Telephone 0300 006 5288

Aimee North, Head of Housing Market Indices, Office for National Statistics

Email aimee.north@ons.gov.uk

Telephone 01633 456400

Ciara Cunningham, Statistician for the Northern Ireland HPI

Email ciara.cunningham@finance-ni.gov.uk

Telephone 028 90 336035

Anne MacDonald, Land & Property Data Team, Registers of Scotland

Email Anne.MacDonald@ros.gov.uk

Telephone 0131 378 4991