Research and analysis

Out of tolerance report: GCSE, AS and A level, summer 2015

A report into grades that were out of tolerance compared to predictions.



Exam boards use predictions based on prior attainment to give a picture of what the results may look like. They report to us if the actual results are significantly different from the predictions (out of tolerance) and they provide evidence to justify their decisions. We will either accept the explanation or challenge those results if the evidence is not sufficient. This report provides detail on those awards in summer 2015 that were out of tolerance.

Published 20 August 2015
Last updated 15 October 2015 + show all updates
  1. On page 2, in the overall figures the document reported that the number of awards outside of reporting tolerances for AS was 5 but listed 6 subjects in the "AS subjects outside of reporting tolerances" table at the bottom of page 2. This has been amended by removing the line for the law subject which wasn't out of tolerance.
  2. First published.