Global Strategic Trends

The sixth edition of Global Strategic Trends, published by the Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre, describes a future context for defence and security out to 2050.



Global Strategic Trends (GST) describes a strategic context for those in the Ministry of Defence (MOD) and wider government who are involved in developing long term plans, strategies, policies and capabilities. Without a strategic context there is a risk that planners, policymakers and capability developers may assume a future that adheres to preconceived thoughts and assumptions.

Global Strategic Trends: The future starts here

There is a transcript for this video. It is also attached above.

As well as providing a strategic context, this sixth edition of GST identifies long-term threats and opportunities. It also identifies 16 focus areas where the potential for profound change to humanity is high, and describes a series of short alternative future scenarios.

GST does not attempt to predict the future, it cannot. Rather, it describes those phenomena that could have a significant impact on the future and combines these differing perspectives to produce a multifaceted picture of possible outcomes.

Published 2 October 2018
Last updated 15 October 2018 + show all updates
  1. Updated the web page with the sixth edition of the GST document and updated the web text to reflect the new Global strategic trends document release.

  2. First published.