Research and analysis

Energy and emissions projections: 2024 to 2050

Projections of energy demand, greenhouse gas emissions and electricity generation from 2024 to 2050.

• From: Department for Energy Security and Net Zero
• Published: 3 February 2026

Documents

Energy and emissions projections 2024 to 2050

PDF, 368 KB, 30 pages

Annex A: Net Zero Strategy categories: Greenhouse gas emissions by source

ODS, 285 KB

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Annex A: Territorial Emissions Statistics categories: Greenhouse gas emissions by source

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Annex B: Carbon dioxide emissions by source

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Annex C: Carbon dioxide emissions by IPCC category (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)

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Annex C: Non carbon dioxide emissions by IPCC category (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)

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Annex C: Carbon dioxide emissions by CRT category (Common Reporting Tables)

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Annex C: Non carbon dioxide emissions by CRT category (Common Reporting Tables)

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Annex D: Policy savings in the projections

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Annex E: Primary energy demand in Mtoe

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Annex E: Primary energy demand in TWh

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Annex F: Final energy demand in ktoe

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Annex F: Final energy demand in TWh

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Annex G: Major power producers' generation by source

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Annex H: Major power producers' cumulative new electricity generating capacity

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Annex I: Major power producers' total electricity generating capacity

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Annex J: Total electricity generation by source

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Annex K: Total cumulative new electricity generating capacity

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Annex L: Total electricity generating capacity

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Annex M: Growth assumptions and prices

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Annex N: Non CO2 projections report

PDF, 290 KB, 23 pages

EEP web tables: 2024-2050

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EEP web figures: 2024-2050

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Details

The energy and emissions projections publication provides projections of energy, emissions and electricity generation under policies that have been implemented and those that are planned where the level of funding has been agreed and the design of the policy is near final.

The report and annexes contain projections of UK greenhouse gas emissions, energy demand and electricity generation. They include projections of the demand for each type of fuel in different sectors of the economy.

Please send any enquiries about the projections to: emissionsprojections@energysecurity.gov.uk.

For questions on the assumptions behind the projections, please see Annex M for source information.

We are unable to provide any breakdown of projected renewable electricity generation, capacity or new build by technology.

Published 3 February 2026