National statistics

UK House Price Index Scotland: March 2021

Published 19 May 2021

Applies to Scotland

1. Headline statistics for March 2021

The average price of a property in Scotland was £166,566

The annual price change of a property in Scotland was 10.6%

The monthly price change of a property in Scotland was 2.8%

The index figure for Scotland (January 2015 = 100) was 123.4

Estimates for the most recent months are provisional and are likely to be updated as more data is incorporated into the index. Read the revision policies.

Next publication of UK HPI

The April 2021 UK HPI will be published at 9.30am on Wednesday 16 June 2021. See the calendar of release dates for more information.

2. Economic statement

Scotland house prices increased by 10.6% in the year to March 2021, up from an increase of 8.3% in year to February 2021. Scotland house prices were growing faster than the UK annual rate of 10.2% in the year to March 2021. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis average house prices in Scotland increased by 2.8% between February and March 2021, compared with an increase of 0.7% during the same period a year earlier (February and March 2020). On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices in Scotland have increased by 2.1% between February and March 2021.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for January 2020 with the provisional estimate for January 2021, volume transactions increased by 10.2% in Scotland. UK volume transactions increased by 6.3% over the same period.

In Scotland, terraced houses showed the biggest increase out of all property types, rising by 13.3% in the year to March 2021 to £142,000. The lowest annual change of all property types was in flats and maisonettes, up by 7.6% in the year to March 2021 to £116,000.

House prices increased over the year in 31 out of 32 local authority areas. The largest growth was in South Ayrshire (not including Orkney Islands) where prices increased by 16.0% in the year to March 2021 to £153,000. The lowest annual growth for the year ending March 2021 was recorded in City of Aberdeen where average prices decreased over the year by 0.6% to £140,000.

As with other indicators in the housing market, which typically fluctuate from month to month, it is important not to put too much weight on one month’s set of house price data.

3. Price change

3.1 Annual price change

Annual price change for Scotland over the past 5 years

In Scotland, average prices increased by 10.6% in the year to March 2021, compared with an increase of 8.3% in year to February 2021.

Annual price change by local authority for Scotland

Low numbers of sales transactions in some local authorities, such as Orkney Islands, Na h-Eileanan Siar and Shetland Islands, can lead to volatility in the series.

While we make efforts to account for this volatility, the change in price in these local levels can be influenced by the type and number of properties sold in any given period.

Geographies with low number of sales transactions should be analysed in the context of their longer-term trends rather than focusing on monthly movements.

Local authorities March 2021 March 2020 Difference
Aberdeenshire £183,857 £174,350 5.5%
Angus £151,412 £141,143 7.3%
Argyll and Bute £160,359 £141,219 13.6%
City of Aberdeen £140,357 £141,192 -0.6%
City of Dundee £136,627 £123,029 11.1%
City of Edinburgh £285,867 £274,512 4.1%
City of Glasgow £150,406 £133,366 12.8%
Clackmannanshire £139,468 £129,789 7.5%
Dumfries and Galloway £141,724 £129,614 9.3%
East Ayrshire £104,336 £94,618 10.3%
East Dunbartonshire £234,631 £214,909 9.2%
East Lothian £245,374 £225,177 9.0%
East Renfrewshire £254,649 £230,496 10.5%
Falkirk £134,300 £128,568 4.5%
Fife £147,590 £133,759 10.3%
Highland £181,474 £165,328 9.8%
Inverclyde £108,478 £95,271 13.9%
Midlothian £197,627 £191,610 3.1%
Moray £164,697 £145,786 13.0%
Na h-Eileanan Siar £124,975 £113,034 10.6%
North Ayrshire £113,800 £103,181 10.3%
North Lanarkshire £117,711 £107,911 9.1%
Orkney Islands £165,188 £132,121 25.0%
Perth and Kinross £213,778 £190,332 12.3%
Renfrewshire £131,791 £123,648 6.6%
Scottish Borders £168,691 £159,221 5.9%
Shetland Islands £184,935 £169,760 8.9%
South Ayrshire £152,894 £131,762 16.0%
South Lanarkshire £139,142 £127,744 8.9%
Stirling £209,170 £197,322 6.0%
West Dunbartonshire £115,645 £109,087 6.0%
West Lothian £174,696 £162,878 7.3%
Scotland £166,566 £150,625 10.6%

Average price by local authority for Scotland

In March 2021, the most expensive area to purchase a property was City of Edinburgh, where the average cost was £286,000. In contrast, the cheapest area to purchase a property was East Ayrshire, where the average cost was £104,000.

3.2 Average price change by property type

Average price change by property type for Scotland

Property type March 2021 March 2020 Difference
Detached £290,462 £260,273 11.6%
Semi-detached £175,787 £157,391 11.7%
Terraced £142,374 £125,619 13.3%
Flat or maisonette £116,357 £108,105 7.6%
All £166,566 £150,625 10.6%

4. Sales volumes

The amount of time between the sale of a property and the registration of this information varies. It typically ranges between 2 weeks and 2 months but can be longer. Volume figures for the most recent 2 months are not yet at a reliable level for reporting, so they are not included in the report. Published transactions for recent months will increase as later registered transactions are incorporated into the index.

Sales volume data is also available by property status (new build and existing property) and funding status (cash and mortgage) in our downloadable data tables. Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and require more time to process. Read Revisions to the UK HPI data for more information.

4.1 Sales volumes by local authority

Sales volumes for Scotland by local authority

Local authorities January 2021 January 2020
Aberdeenshire 318 270
Angus 140 145
Argyll and Bute 167 128
City of Aberdeen 240 244
City of Dundee 200 187
City of Edinburgh 889 844
City of Glasgow 903 815
Clackmannanshire 78 74
Dumfries and Galloway 186 147
East Ayrshire 147 126
East Dunbartonshire 143 112
East Lothian 165 163
East Renfrewshire 152 128
Falkirk 187 196
Fife 523 498
Highland 321 295
Inverclyde 128 103
Midlothian 119 147
Moray 96 127
Na h-Eileanan Siar 24 17
North Ayrshire 184 176
North Lanarkshire 380 385
Orkney Islands 24 30
Perth and Kinross 239 208
Renfrewshire 278 282
Scottish Borders 163 153
Shetland Islands 33 23
South Ayrshire 175 141
South Lanarkshire 451 425
Stirling 141 97
West Dunbartonshire 102 104
West Lothian 266 232
Scotland 7,562 7,022

Note: The number of property transactions for January 2021 will increase as more transactions are incorporated into the index. See our Revisions Policy for more information.

Comparing the provisional volume estimate for January 2020 with the provisional estimate for January 2021, volume transactions increased by 10.2% in Scotland.

UK Property Transaction Statistics published by HM Revenue & Customs (which differ in coverage but are more complete for this period) report that on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, volume transactions increased by 10.8% in Scotland in the year to January 2021.

4.2 Sales volumes

Sales volumes for Scotland over the past 5 years

Date Sales volumes for Scotland
January 2017 6,380
January 2018 6,111
January 2019 6,654
January 2020 7,022
January 2021 7,562

5. Property status

Transactions involving the creation of a new register, such as new builds, are more complex and need more time to process. This means they can take longer to appear in the land registers. The volume of new build transactions for the most recent 2 months are not at a reliable level for reporting the breakdown between new build and existing resold property, so they are not included in the report.

New build and existing resold property for Scotland

Property status Average price January 2021 Monthly change Annual change
New build £223,069 0.2% 1.9%
Existing resold property £161,596 1.3% 7.5%

Note: Since the October 2017 release, amendments have been made to our estimation model when calculating our provisional estimate. Find out further information and the impact of this change in methods used to produce the UK HPI.

6. Buyer status

First time buyer and former owner occupier for Scotland

Type of buyer Average price March 2021 Monthly change Annual change
First time buyer £134,279 3.1% 10.2%
Former owner occupier £200,240 2.6% 11.0%

7. Funding status

Cash and mortgage indicator for Scotland

Funding status Average price March 2021 Monthly change Annual change
Cash £153,070 3.0% 10.6%
Mortgage £172,867 2.8% 10.6%

8. Access the data

Download the data as CSV files or access it with our UK HPI tool.

Data revisions

View any revisions to previously published data in the data downloads or find out more about revisions in our guidance About the UK HPI.

9. About the UK House Price Index

The UK House Price Index (UK HPI) is calculated by the Office for National Statistics and Land & Property Services Northern Ireland. Find out about the methodology used to create the UK HPI.

Data for the UK House Price Index is provided by HM Land Registry, Registers of Scotland, The Land & Property Services/Northern Ireland Statistics & Research Agency and the Valuation Office Agency.

Find out more about the UK House Price Index.

10. Contact for Scotland queries

Anne MacDonald, Land & Property Data Team, Registers of Scotland

Email Anne.MacDonald@ros.gov.uk

Telephone 0131 378 4991