Total Factor Productivity of the United Kingdom agricultural industry in 2025
Updated 11 June 2026
This release presents the estimate of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) of the UK agricultural industry for 2025. It also presents volume indices for inputs and outputs. These figures include updates to the figures published in June of last year following data updates.
TFP is a measure of how well inputs are converted into outputs, giving an indication of the efficiency and competitiveness of the agricultural industry. Although external factors such as weather conditions or disease outbreaks may have a short-term impact on productivity, it is developments that improve productivity over a longer period that constitute one of the main drivers of agricultural income.
TFP estimates are derived from the aggregate farm accounts data used to calculate UK Total Income from Farming (TIFF). TIFF estimates for 2025 are published in parallel with these and can be found on the aggregate agricultural accounts page.
1. Key messages
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Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is estimated to have increased by 0.9% between 2024 and 2025. This was driven by an increase in the volume of outputs, offsetting a small increase in the volume of inputs.
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The volume of all outputs increased by 1.8%. There was a mixed picture for crop outputs with increases in the volume of cereals (+3.2%) potatoes (+8.2%), vegetables and horticultural products (+2.1%) and fruit (+1.2%) offsetting decreases in industrial crops (-3.2%) and other crop products (-2.3%). For the majority of crops the hot and dry weather in the spring and summer of 2025 led to variable yields and production, resulting in an overall 2.7% increase in total crop output. Total livestock output increased by 1.5% driven by a 5.1% rise in output of livestock products where high farmgate prices incentivised increased production. In contrast, livestock for meat volumes declined due to a sharp decrease in beef volumes following contraction of the cattle and calf herd in 2025.
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The volume of all inputs increased by 0.9%. There was a mixture of increases and decreases in volume across intermediate consumption with an overall increase of 2.3%. Animal feed volumes showed the largest increase (+5.7%) due to higher demand from the cattle and sheep sectors and reduced grazing and forage quality. The largest decrease was in purchased fertiliser volumes, which fell by 4.6%, attributed to changes in farmer purchasing patterns in response to a 10.8% increase in the annual price index for fertilisers.
Figure 1: Summary of key indices 2024 to 2025 (1973 = 100)
| Item | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| All outputs | 133.1 | 135.5 |
| All inputs | 87.1 | 87.9 |
| Total factor productivity | 152.7 | 154.2 |
2. Long term trends
Figure 2: Long term trends in TFP of the UK agricultural industry (1973 = 100)
TFP of the agricultural industry in the United Kingdom increased by 0.9% between 2024 and 2025. This was driven by an increase in the volume of outputs which offset a small increase in the volume of inputs. As shown in Figure 2, this continues the pattern of annual fluctuations seen from around the year 2000 onwards. Despite this annual variability, the long-term trend is still one of slow but overall improvement in TFP.
Since the series began in 1973, TFP has increased by 54.2%, driven by an increase in the volume of all outputs of 35.5% and a decrease in the volume of all inputs of 12.1%.
3. Annual changes, 2024 to 2025
3.1 All outputs
‘All outputs’ represents the change in volume (expressed as an index based to 1973) of all outputs sold off the farm, excluding transactions within the agricultural industry. Therefore gross fixed capital formation of livestock, transactions within the industry e.g. inter/intra farm transfer of wheat, barley etc. and contract work (agricultural services) are excluded from the calculation.
Table 1. Volume indices for outputs (1973 = 100)
| Item | 2024 | 2025 | Annual Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Output of cereals | 147.5 | 152.2 | 3.2% |
| Output of industrial crops | 203.4 | 198.1 | -2.6% |
| Output of forage plants | 99.3 | 99.3 | 0.0% |
| Output of vegetables and horticultural products | 80.8 | 82.5 | 2.1% |
| Output of potatoes | 92.4 | 100.5 | 8.7% |
| Output of fruit | 85.2 | 86.2 | 1.2% |
| Output of other crop products | 120.4 | 117.6 | -2.3% |
| Total crop output | 129.2 | 132.8 | 2.7% |
| Output of livestock (meat) | 129.0 | 127.9 | -0.9% |
| Output of livestock products | 110.8 | 116.5 | 5.1% |
| Total livestock output | 121.9 | 123.7 | 1.5% |
| Diversification | 636.5 | 640.4 | 0.6% |
| All outputs | 133.1 | 135.5 | 1.8% |
Notes:
- Potato prices and yield information were previously obtained from the AHDB who stopped producing data midway through 2021. From 2022 we have estimated yields based on input from sector representatives, devolved administrations and coverage of the sector in the farming press.
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The volume of all outputs increased by 1.8% between 2024 and 2025. This was the result of an increase in both total livestock output (+1.5%) and total crop output (+2.7%) volumes.
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The biggest change within total livestock output was in the output of livestock products, which increased by 5.1%. This was driven by increases in the volumes of milk and eggs (+5.6% and +4.9% respectively). Both items saw increases in prices in 2025 with farmgate milk prices increasing by 6.8% to 44.0 pence per litre and UK egg packer to producer prices increasing by 2.2% to 147.6 pence per dozen. Higher prices and low feed costs contributed to an increase in production in both commodities, as producers responded to improved margins. Milk production for human consumption increased by 5.0% to 15.8 billion litres and eggs for human consumption increased by 5.2% to 1.1 billion dozen.
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The largest volume increase in total crop output was output of potatoes which increased by 8.7%. After a poor harvest and high prices in 2024, the UK area of potatoes in June increased by 7.2% to 127 thousand hectares, increasing production in 2025. The second largest volume increase was in output of cereals, driven by a 12.1% increase in the output volume of wheat. In 2025, the UK area of wheat in June increased by 9.1% to 1.7 million hectares, which increased production by 7.3% to 12.0 million tonnes despite a 1.7% decrease in yields.
3.2 All inputs
‘All inputs and entrepreneurial labour’ represents the change in volume (expressed as an index based to 1973) of all goods and services purchased and consumed, excluding transactions within the agricultural industry.
Table 2: Volume indices for inputs (1973 = 100)
| Item | 2024 | 2025 | Annual Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seeds | 137.3 | 141.3 | 2.9% |
| Energy | 50.1 | 50.4 | 0.5% |
| Fertilisers | 72.0 | 68.7 | -4.6% |
| Plant protection products | 295.5 | 303.6 | 2.7% |
| Veterinary expenses | 128.1 | 127.1 | -0.8% |
| Animal feed | 134.2 | 141.9 | 5.7% |
| Total maintenance | 56.0 | 56.0 | -0.1% |
| Bank charges | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0% |
| Other goods and services | 139.8 | 143.8 | 2.8% |
| Intermediate consumption | 106.8 | 109.2 | 2.3% |
| Consumption of fixed capital | 126.5 | 126.6 | 0.1% |
| All labour | 50.3 | 49.8 | -1.1% |
| Land | 94.7 | 95.0 | 0.4% |
| All inputs and entrepreneurial labour | 87.1 | 87.9 | 0.9% |
Notes:
- Bank charges has replaced the name of the item FISIM (Financial Intermediary Services Indirectly Measured) for clarity following feedback on our statistical release.
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The volume of all inputs and entrepreneurial labour increased by 0.9% between 2024 and 2025. This increase was driven by increases in animal feed (+5.7%), seeds (+2.9%) and plant protection products (+2.7%) that, together with other smaller increases, offset the 4.6% decrease in fertilisers.
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Animal feed includes compound animal feed and straight animal feed. In 2025, the total volume of animal feed increased by 5.7% from 2024, driven by rises in both compound feed (+2.4%) and straight feed (+14.1%) volumes. Strong demand from the cattle and sheep sectors drove increased volumes of feed due to high milk, beef and lamb commodity prices and increased milk production.
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The volume of seeds used in a year is influenced by planting timing and conditions and crop areas. In 2025 the volume of seeds increased 2.9%, driven by increases in the UK areas of arable crops at June such as wheat (+9.1%), oats (+8.8%) and potatoes (+7.2%), as well as vegetables grown outdoors (+6.7%).
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In 2025, the volume of plant protection products increased by 2.7% in response to increases in the UK June areas of wheat and potatoes, despite the dry weather in spring and summer reducing overall disease and pest pressure.
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The volume of fertilisers purchased decreased by 4.6% in 2025, attributed to farmers adjusting buying patterns in response to price rises. In 2025 the annual price index for fertilisers increased by 10.8%, following falls in 2023 and 2024 from the highs seen in 2022. However, it should be noted that many farmers forward-buy fertiliser on contract, and purchasing patterns are not necessarily indicative of usage patterns in the same year.
4. Partial productivity
Partial productivity shows the impact key inputs have on productivity. It measures total outputs against a part of the inputs.
Table 3: Partial factor productivity (1973 = 100)
| Item | 2024 | 2025 | Annual Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Productivity by intermediate consumption | 124.6 | 124.1 | -0.5% |
| Productivity by capital consumption | 105.2 | 107.1 | 1.8% |
| Productivity by labour | 264.4 | 272.2 | 3.0% |
| Productivity by land | 140.6 | 142.6 | 1.5% |
Figure 3: Long term trends in partial productivity indicators (1973 = 100)
Table 3 and Figure 3 show that labour is the key input driving productivity gains. Productivity by labour shows a steady increase over the whole period since 1973. Labour volumes are now approximately half of what they were in 1973. However, more recent growth in labour productivity is due to increased output rather than a reduction in labour volume.
5. About these statistics
5.1 Contact details
Responsible statistician: Alexandra Hall
Public enquiries: farmaccounts@defra.gov.uk
For media queries between 9am and 6pm on weekdays:
Telephone: 0330 041 6560
Email: newsdesk@defra.gov.uk
5.2 Revisions
This release represents the estimate for TFP 2025 in the United Kingdom. At the time of publication, not all data is available and some values have been forecasted. Consequently, this release is subject to a degree of revision when final estimates are published later in the year.
As a result of more data becoming available over time there have been minor revisions to earlier years in this release. These revisions are intended to enhance the precision of these estimates. Sometimes additional revisions are necessary to refine the methodology or correct historical errors.
Below is a list of key revisions that have been carried out since the last publication:
- There have been small changes to data from 2010 - 2024 as published in TFP 2024 in the United Kingdom. This is a result of minor methodological changes which have been made to streamline our data processing. TFP, as outlined elsewhere in this release, is primarily focused on trends and these methodological changes have not impacted the trend in TFP from 2010, which has been one of increased productivity.
5.3 Accredited Official Statistics
Accredited official statistics are called National Statistics in the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007. An explanation can be found on the Office for Statistics Regulation website.
Our statistical practice is regulated by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR). OSR sets the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics that all producers of official statistics should adhere to.
These accredited official statistics were independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation in December 2017. They comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics and should be labelled ‘accredited official statistics’.
You are welcome to contact us directly with any comments about how we meet these standards (see contact details above). Alternatively, you can contact OSR by emailing regulation@statistics.gov.uk or via the OSR website.
Since the latest review by the Office for Statistics Regulation, we have continued to comply with the Code of Practice for Statistics, and have enhanced data quality by reviewing methodologies and data sources.
5.4 Background to TFP
These results are produced as part of the preparation of aggregate agricultural accounts UK Accredited Official Statistics. The agricultural accounts are also used to produce other measures of performance of the agricultural industry, including Total Income from Farming.
5.5 Quality assurance
Defra has in place quality assurance processes to check the accuracy and reliability of the aggregate agricultural accounts that includes:
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Ongoing review of methods employed in the calculation of the accounts.
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Assessment of the quality of the estimates of components of the accounts with internal and external experts.
A summary quality report for this statistical release can be found on the GOV.UK website.
This is an overview note which is not release-specific but will be reviewed and updated at regular intervals. It pulls together key qualitative information on the various dimensions of quality as well as providing a summary of methods used to compile the output. It provides users with information on usability and fitness for purpose of these estimates.
5.6 Main uses and users of TFP
TFP is used in conjunction with other economic information to:
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Inform policy decisions and to help monitor and evaluate current policies relating to agriculture in the UK by Government.
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Inform stakeholders of the performance of the agricultural industry.
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Inform research into the economic performance of the agricultural industry.
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As an impact indicator of Government policy.
5.7 User engagement
As part of our ongoing commitment to compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics, we wish to strengthen our engagement with users of these statistics and better understand the use made of them and the types of decisions that they inform. Consequently, we invite users to make themselves known, to advise us of the use they do, or might, make of these statistics, and what their wishes are in terms of engagement. We welcome any enquiries about these statistics and are keen to hear what we could do to improve this release for users.
5.8 Future publications
The estimate of TFP of the UK agriculture industry in 2026 will be published in June 2027.