Research and analysis

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19), 2 March 2020

Consensus statement from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

From:
Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
Published
20 March 2020

Documents

SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) - 2 March 2020

PDF, 104 KB, 4 pages

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Details

Consensus statement from SPI-M-O on the coronavirus outbreak in the UK as of Monday 2 March 2020, including:

  • reproduction number
  • doubling time
  • case fatality ratio
  • reasonable worst case
  • other factors

This statement highlighted the likely sustained transmission of coronavirus in the UK.

The paper was discussed at SAGE meeting 12 on 3 March 2020.

This evidence was often compiled very rapidly during a fast-moving response and should be viewed in this context. The paper presented here is the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing, and the conclusions were formed on this basis. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly. Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded at a later date.

Published 20 March 2020

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