Guidance

Policy appraisal: risk-opportunity analysis (ROA)

Appraisal guidance for transformational change, including a systems lens of risks, opportunities, trade-offs, and managing uncertainty.

• From: Department for Energy Security and Net Zero
• Published: 26 October 2026

Documents

Energy appraisal: risk-opportunity analysis (ROA) – application guidance

PDF, 501 KB, 43 pages

Energy appraisal: risk-opportunity analysis (ROA) – technical implementation guidance

PDF, 641 KB, 49 pages

Details

These documents provide guidance on the application of risk-opportunity analysis (ROA) within the government policy appraisal process and the underlying technical detail of the framework.

ROA is a decision-making framework for appraising interventions in situations of transformational change, involving diverse outcome dimensions, and high uncertainty.

For further information or help using ROA, contact analytical.assurance@energysecurity.gov.uk.

While this guidance focuses on energy-related policies, it can be used for any similarly transformational change.