Independent report

DfT aviation fleet mix model: a review

An independent review of the fleet mix component of the DfT aviation forecasting model.


A review of the DfT aviation fleet mix model

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The fleet mix model is used to forecast the composition of the commercial aircraft fleet operating to and from the UK to 2050.

Ricardo Energy & Environment reviewed the methods, data and assumptions used in the fleet mix model.

The review made recommendations for both immediate updates and future development to the fleet mix model.

The recommendations for immediate updates were made to the Department for Transport (DfT) aviation forecasting model and used to produce the 2017 UK aviation forecasts.

Forthcoming versions of the DfT aviation forecast model will consider the recommendations for future development.

Published 24 October 2017