Research and analysis

Comparing rail forecasting approaches

Report about an investigation into the accuracy of a rail journey forecasting method described in Arup and Oxera's 2009 'revisiting' study.

This publication was withdrawn on

This is no longer current. See more about rail demand forecasting.

Documents

Comparing rail forecasting approaches: an in-house analytical consultancy report

This file may not be suitable for users of assistive technology. Request an accessible format.

If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email webmasterdft@dft.gsi.gov.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

Details

Part of a programme of work to evaluate Arup and Oxera’s 2009 ‘Revisiting the elasticity based framework’ study. Its intention is to investigate:

  • how accurately the ‘revisiting’ framework is able to replicate actual rail demand, both using the revisiting market segmentation and the market segmentation outlined in the ‘Passenger demand forecasting handbook’ (PDFH)
  • how the accuracy of the revisiting framework compares to the accuracy of the PDFH forecasting framework
Published 11 April 2012