Research and analysis

Business readiness for a Day 1 No Deal EU exit: waves 4 to 6 research report

Quantitative research commissioned to Ipsos MORI exploring business readiness for a Day 1 No Deal EU exit on 31 October 2019 (waves 4 to 6).

• From: HM Revenue & Customs
• Published: 15 July 2025

Documents

Business readiness for Day 1 No Deal EU exit waves 4 to 6: executive summary

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Business readiness for Day 1 No Deal EU exit waves 4 to 6: full research report

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Business readiness for Day 1 No Deal EU exit waves 4 to 6: technical report

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Details

HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) commissioned Ipsos MORI to conduct quantitative research on the preparedness of different groups of businesses for a potential No Deal scenario, to track readiness over time. The research was conducted in two phases:

• the first took place in January (wave 1), February (wave 2) and March 2019 (wave 3)
• the second took place in July (wave 4), August (wave 5) and September 2019 (wave 6)

The first phase of the research explored business readiness for a Day 1 No Deal in case this took place on 29 March 2019. The departure date was then extended from 29 March 2019 to 31 October 2019. The second phase of the research explored business readiness for a No Deal scenario in case this took place on 31 October 2019.

This research report covers the second phase of the research (waves 4 to 6). This comprised 3 separate telephone surveys of VAT-registered businesses trading with the EU. Intermediaries (covering customs brokers, freight forwarders and hauliers involved in trading with other EU countries and the wider supply chain) were interviewed in a single telephone survey around the same time as the fifth wave of the VAT-registered businesses survey.

Published 15 July 2025