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Description of the statistical methods and techniques used to create and analyse monthly estimates for personal well-being related to optimism and concerns for the UK. This is the first time that we are publishing these new questions as Experimental Statistics.
Supplementary guidance to the Green Book on estimates for a project's costs, benefits and duration in the absence of robust primary evidence.
Investigates the phenomenon of optimism bias in UK rail infrastructure projects.
The third paper in a series of Homes England research reports on measuring social value.
A workbook of reference class forecast curves that can be used in uncertainty analysis.
Peer review of Oxford Global Projects research report on the rate of optimism bias uplifts used in transport appraisal.
A report on the updated evidence for optimism bias uplifts for transport appraisals.
An Optimistic Preliminary Account
This year’s Annual Report from Ofsted concludes there are reasons for optimism, as education and children’s social care continue to recover from the lingering impact of the pandemic restrictions.
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