Official Statistics

Excess mortality in England and English regions

Analysis estimating excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic by factors including age, sex, ethnicity, cause of death, deprivation and place of death.

Applies to England

Documents

Excess mortality in England analysis

Excess mortality in English regions analysis

Excess mortality in England: methodology

Archive of excess mortality in England weekly reports, 3 July 2020 to 26 February 2021

Archive of regional excess mortality reports from July 2020 to Nov 2021

Details

Monitoring excess mortality provides understanding of the impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) during the course of the pandemic and beyond. Excess mortality in these analyses is defined as the number of deaths throughout the pandemic that are above the estimated number expected.

In these analyses, the expected number of death registrations is modelled using 5 years of data from preceding years to estimate the number of death registrations expected in each week.

Excess deaths are estimated from 21 March 2020 onwards. In the England analysis they are broken down by age, sex, region, upper tier local authority, ethnic group, level of deprivation, cause of death and place of death.

The analysis in English regions is broken down by age, sex, upper tier local authority, ethnic group, level of deprivation, cause of death and place of death.

Both analyses will be published monthly from May 2022 onwards. The national report will retain a breakdown of figures by week.

Further information

We also publish a set of bespoke analyses using the excess mortality methodology and data but cut in ways that are not included in the reports and updates on this page.

Read Excess mortality: bespoke analyses.

Questions or feedback

If you have any comments, questions or feedback, contact us at pha-ohid@dhsc.gov.uk.

Published 20 July 2020
Last updated 8 June 2023 + show all updates
  1. Analysis updated with the latest available data.

  2. Analysis updated with latest available data. Correction implemented to the analysis for the week ending 13 January 2023. Previous estimate of 3,750 excess deaths was reduced by 44%.

  3. Analysis updated with the latest available data.

  4. The analysis in the England and English regions reports have been updated with the latest available data.

  5. Analysis updated with latest available data. A date selector feature has been added to the regional analyses. Added 'Pre-release access list: excess mortality analyses, February 2023'.

  6. Pre-release access list added.

  7. The analysis is updated with data to 30 December 2022.

  8. Updated with the latest available data.

  9. Data updated with latest available figures. In addition to the latest monthly figures, this release also includes minor changes to the previously published figures. The previously published figures have been adjusted to account for the bank holiday associated with the State Funeral of Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II. Also added bespoke analysis which presents the data in a way not available in the main tool. The data in this analysis are split into 3 age groups and 3 distinct periods. They are available broken-down with the full range of measures available in the main report, such as ethnic group and deprivation.

  10. Tool updated with latest available data.

  11. Main reports have been updated with the latest available data.

  12. Data is updated to latest available for the England report only.

  13. The report contains the latest available data.

  14. Main reports updated with latest available data. Bespoke analysis spreadsheets added.

  15. This is an update with the latest available data

  16. First published.