Official statistics announcement

Preliminary estimate of the VAT gap (tax year 2024 to 2025)

HMRC will publish the preliminary VAT gap estimate for 2024 to 2025 on Thursday 26 November 2025 at 3pm. These statistics are published following the Chancellor's statement to Parliament

• From: HM Revenue & Customs
• Published: 14 August 2024
• Last updated: 8 July 2026

• Release date: 26 November 2025 3:00pm (confirmed)

The release date has been changed

• Previous date: 30 October 2024 3:00pm
• Reason for change: The VAT gap preliminary estimate will be updated to the latest version for 24/25.

These statistics will be released on 26 November 2025 3:00pm