Official statistics announcement

Preliminary estimate of the VAT gap (tax year 2024 to 2025)

HMRC will publish the preliminary VAT gap estimate for 2024 to 2025 on Wednesday 26 November 2025 at 3pm, following the Chancellor's Autumn Budget speech.

From:
HM Revenue & Customs
Published
14 August 2024
Last updated
14 October 2025
Release date:
26 November 2025 3:00pm (confirmed)

The release date has been changed

Previous date:
30 October 2024 3:00pm
Reason for change:
The VAT gap preliminary estimate will be updated to the latest version for 24/25.
These statistics will be released on 26 November 2025 3:00pm