Uprating the freight value of travel time
Reviews evidence and appraisal approaches for how road freight travel time values should grow over time.
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This report evaluates options for uprating the road freight values of travel time (VTT) and values of travel time reliability (VTTR) by reviewing:
- economic theory
- historical freight cost trends
- international appraisal practices
- empirical evidence
The report identifies and compares 3 alternatives:
- the current transport analysis guidance (TAG) method
- a component-based freight cost index approach
- a GDP-per-capita approach
The analysis finds that both the current TAG method and a GDP-per-capita-based approach can be justified. However, the authors express a slight preference for using GDP per capita growth with an elasticity of approximately 0.82, because of:
- greater simplicity
- consistency with passenger travel time appraisal
- evidence from international studies and meta-analysis
Significance and ARUP completed this research on behalf of the Department for Transport.