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Research and analysis

Uprating the freight value of travel time

Reviews evidence and appraisal approaches for how road freight travel time values should grow over time.

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Uprating the freight value of travel time

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Details

This report evaluates options for uprating the road freight values of travel time (VTT) and values of travel time reliability (VTTR) by reviewing:

  • economic theory
  • historical freight cost trends
  • international appraisal practices
  • empirical evidence

The report identifies and compares 3 alternatives:

The analysis finds that both the current TAG method and a GDP-per-capita-based approach can be justified. However, the authors express a slight preference for using GDP per capita growth with an elasticity of approximately 0.82, because of:

  • greater simplicity
  • consistency with passenger travel time appraisal
  • evidence from international studies and meta-analysis

Significance and ARUP completed this research on behalf of the Department for Transport.

Updates to this page

Published 30 July 2026

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