Research and analysis

UK aviation forecasts 2011

2011 forecast of UK air passenger demand and aviation carbon dioxide emissions to 2050.

This publication was withdrawn on

The updated version of this forecast is the 2013 UK aviation forecasts.

Documents

UK aviation forecasts 2011

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Supplementary information relating to airport specific forecasts

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Peer review conclusions

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Peer review of NAPALM

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Peer review of "Peer review of NAPALM"

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Peer review of "Re-estimating the national air passenger demand model econometric equations"

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Peer review of paper on key drivers of air passenger demand

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Peer review of "WebTag unit on aviation appraisal"

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Response to the peer review of NAPALM

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Re-estimating the national air passenger demand model economic equations

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Reflecting changes in the relationship between UK air travel and its key drivers in the National Passenger Demand Model

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Data sources for the econometrics in the National Air Passenger Demand Model

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Future aircraft fuel efficiencies - final report

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Details

This report presents the department’s updated forecasts of the UK air passengers and UK aviation carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions to 2050. It is part of the response to the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) report on options for reducing CO₂ emissions from UK aviation to 2050.

The conclusions of an independent peer review of the methods underpinning the updated forecasts, and associated technical notes, appear as supporting documents to the technical report.

The 2011 UK forecast updates the Department for Transport’s 2009 UK aviation forecasts.

Published 25 August 2011