Research and analysis

UK aviation forecast 2026

2026 forecasts for air passengers, aircraft movements and CO2 emissions for UK airports.

• From: Department for Transport
• Published: 18 June 2026

Documents

2026 UK aviation forecast

PDF, 2.15 MB, 114 pages

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2026 UK aviation forecast data tables

ODS, 337 KB

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2026 UK aviation forecast data tables (disaggregated)

ODS, 34.1 MB

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Details

This document sets out the Department for Transport (DfT) 2026 forecasts for air passengers, aircraft movements and CO2 emissions for UK airports. DfT’s forecasts are a long-term strategic look at UK aviation and are used for the following purposes:

• informing future aviation strategy and policy, including aviation decarbonisation
• informing national aviation policy, e.g. on airport expansion
• feeding into other government departments and the wider aviation sector

The set of forecasts presented in this document are an update to the forecasts published in 2017.

Additionally, in 2022 DfT published the Jet Zero emission forecasts and illustrative scenarios as part of the Jet Zero strategy are reproduced.

This document is designed to sit alongside the aviation modelling framework which explains how the DfT aviation model works.

See the data tables for further detailed information supporting the 2026 UK aviation forecast.

Published 18 June 2026