Research and analysis

Risk Estimation to inform risk assessment, 7 May 2020

Paper prepared by Environmental and Modelling Group (EMG) on risk estimation to inform risk assessment.

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 12 June 2020

Documents

Risk Estimation to inform risk assessment - 7 May 2020

PDF, 617 KB, 20 pages

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Details

Paper prepared by Environmental and Modelling Group (EMG) on risk estimation to inform risk assessment.

The paper was considered at SAGE 34 on 7 May 2020. This paper was not endorsed by SAGE and a revised version was presented at SAGE 36.

It should be viewed in context: the paper was the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. The picture is developing rapidly and, as new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly. Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded and the author’s opinion or conclusion may since have developed.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 12 June 2020