Guidance

Regional survey: South Asia out to 2040

This regional survey identifies key strategic trends for South Asia over the next 30 years and explores the challenges and opportunities.

Detail

The Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre (DCDC)’s ‘South Asia out to 2040’ regional survey identifies key strategic trends for South Asia over the next 30 years and explores the challenges and opportunities that surround an eastern shift in global power.

In 2010, DCDC published ‘Global strategic trends out to 2040’. This document highlighted how, over the next 30 years, the distribution of global economic and military power is likely to shift east.

The ‘South Asia out to 2040’ regional survey develops this analysis and considers what the future international context could look like. It considers how future global military and economic developments are likely to be steered by the continued rise of China, but also, as we move closer to 2040, increasingly by India.

However, in order to make such a shift in power a reality there are numerous internal challenges that will need to be addressed across the region. Issues such as governance, corruption, climate change and inequality will require processes of transformation that are likely to be both uncertain and uneven.

Having established where South Asia is going and how it might get there, the study then considers defence and security implications both globally and for the UK.