Research and analysis

Potential impact of behavioural and social interventions on an epidemic of COVID-19 in the UK, 4 March 2020

Illustrative impact of behavioural and social interventions on the reasonable worst case scenario prepared for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).

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Potential impact of behavioural and social interventions on an epidemic of COVID-19 in the UK - 4 March 2020

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Details

Paper outlining the available scientific evidence base around behavioural and social interventions which could be applied as part of the government response to a UK epidemic of COVID-19. It includes the expected impacts on the spread of the virus and public behaviours, but does not cover economic, operational or policy considerations.

The paper was discussed at SAGE meeting 12 on 3 March 2020.

This evidence was often compiled very rapidly during a fast-moving response and should be viewed in this context. The paper presented here is the best assessment of the evidence at the time of writing, and the conclusions were formed on this basis. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly. Therefore, some of the information in this paper may have been superseded at a later date.

Published 5 May 2020