Research and analysis

Out of court disposals pilot: cautions reoffending analysis

Analysis of the 12-month proven reoffending outcomes for offenders given cautions under the adult out of court disposal pilot (2014 to 2015).


Out of court disposals pilot: cautions reoffending analysis

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Between November 2014 and October 2015, 3 police forces piloted a simplified OOCD framework, A final evaluation report for the pilot was produced by Sheffield Hallam University in conjunction with Ipsos MORI. The original evaluation included an analysis of 3-month proven reoffending in the pilot compared to the counterfactual areas for offenders given an OOCD during the first 3 months of the pilot. The impact evaluation did not find a statistically significant difference between reoffending in the counterfactual and pilot areas.

The summary provides a follow-up analysis of the proven 12-month reoffending outcomes between the pilot and counterfactual areas for those receiving Simple or Conditional Cautions. The study used a quasi-experimental methodology. Counterfactual areas were chosen to be a good comparison for the pilot areas and some differences between the areas were accounted for through modelling. There are, however, likely to be unobserved differences between the areas compared.

Adult out of court disposal pilot evaluation: final report

Published 28 June 2018