Research and analysis

LSHTM: Nowcasting the COVID-19 ICU demand in England, 19 March 2020

Paper prepared by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).

• From: Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
• Published: 8 April 2022

Documents

LSHTM: Nowcasting the COVID-19 ICU demand in England, 19 March 2020

PDF, 593 KB, 4 pages

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Details

Paper by LSHTM on Intensive Care Unit (ICU) demand. This paper was available for participants to read at SAGE 18 on 23 March 2020, but not considered or discussed in the meeting.

This paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

This paper should be read in the context of the SPI-M-O: Consensus statement on COVID-19 from SAGE 18. It should also be read alongside the other papers informing the consensus statement:

• Lancaster University: UK COVID-19 LAD/Age model - situation report, 20 March 2020
• University of Manchester: UK COVID-19 predictions, 23 March 2020
• PHE: Real time model - initial results, 1 March 2020
• PHE: Effectiveness of interventions in Italy, 23 March 2020

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 8 April 2022