Research and analysis

LSHTM: autumn and winter scenarios 2021 to 2022, 13 October 2021

Papers prepared by the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM).

From:
Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies
Published
22 October 2021

Documents

LSHTM: Autumn and winter scenarios 2021 to 2022, 13 October 2021

PDF, 2.11 MB, 35 pages

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LSHTM: Autumn and winter scenarios 2021 to 2022 contingency measures, 13 October 2021

PDF, 674 KB, 3 pages

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Details

Paper from LSHTM summarising modelling on scenarios for COVID-19 over autumn and winter, with a supplementary paper on contingency measures (Plan B). It was considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021.

The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

These papers should be read alongside the accompanying modelling papers from SAGE 96:

The supplementary paper should also be read alongside the following paper from SAGE 96:

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 22 October 2021

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