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International vaccination: Potential impact on viral evolution and UK public health, 21 July 2021

Paper prepared by academics on international vaccination.

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International vaccination: Potential impact on viral evolution and UK public health, 21 July 2021

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Paper by academics on current scientific consensus and hypothesis on the role of global vaccination in the emergence and importation of new variants. It was considered at SAGE 94 on 22 July 2021.

This paper was led by Rosalind Eggo from LSHTM and Julia Gog University of Cambridge and JUNIPER, along with co-authors including:

  • Samuel Clifford, LSHTM
  • Bryan Grenfell, Princeton University
  • Deirdre Hollingsworth, University of Oxford and JUNIPER
  • Petra Klepac, LSHTM and JUNIPER
  • Jessica Metcalf, Princeton University
  • Billy Quilty, LSHTM
  • Robin Thompson, University of Warwick and JUNIPER

This paper is an assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.

These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.

Published 30 July 2021
Last updated 26 October 2021 + show all updates
  1. Added HTML for accessibility.

  2. First published.