Research and analysis

Improving probabilistic flood risk modelling capabilities

This project looks at how to improve our confidence in the use of probabilistic flood modelling as part of risk assessments to help manage flood risk.

Documents

Improving probabilistic flood risk modelling capabilities - R & D summary

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Details

Probabilistic models provide a better estimate of risk by considering uncertainty and hence give an estimate of confidence helping users to make more informed decisions. However, challenges remain, such as how to best validate probabilistic results and how to best use more detailed models in a probabilistic manner.This work produced new evidence and prototype methods which improved our knowledge and understanding.

Published 16 October 2012