Paper from Imperial College London on vaccination and relaxation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) scenarios. It was considered at SAGE 76 on 14 January 2021.
The paper is the assessment of the evidence at the time of writing. As new evidence or data emerges, SAGE updates its advice accordingly.
This paper should be read alongside the corresponding contribution from University of Warwick Covid vaccine impact forecast, and the SPI-M-O: Consensus Statement on COVID-19, both also released under SAGE 76.
Both this and the corresponding paper from Warwick consider the potential impact on the epidemic under a number of scenarios exploring vaccine roll-out and efficacy assumptions, and relaxation of NPIs.
These documents are released as pre-print publications that have provided the government with rapid evidence during an emergency. These documents have not been peer-reviewed and there is no restriction on authors submitting and publishing this evidence in peer-reviewed journals.