National statistics

Asylum

Published 1 December 2016

Valid: 01 December 2016 to 22 February 2017

Data relate to the year ending September 2016 and all comparisons are with the year ending September 2015, unless indicated otherwise.

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1. Key facts

Asylum applications in the UK from main applicants increased by 14% to 33,380 in the year ending September 2016. However, numbers of asylum applications in the third quarter of 2016 (7,146 in July to September) have been considerably lower than in the same quarter of 2015 (10,231 in July to September).

In the year ending September 2016, the largest number of applications for asylum came from nationals of Iran (4,822), followed by Iraq (3,127), Pakistan (2,937), Afghanistan (2,567), Syria (2,102) and Bangladesh (1,927). Most applications for asylum are made by people already in the country (89% of applications in the year ending September 2016) rather than immediately on arrival in the UK at a port.

Including dependants, the number of asylum applications increased by 14% to 41,280 in the year ending September 2016. There was around 1 dependant for every 4 main applicants. In 2015, around three-quarters (73%) of applicants were male and four-fifths (81%) were aged under 35.

There were 3,144 asylum applications from unaccompanied asylum-seeking children (UASC) in the year ending September 2016, a 15% rise compared to the year ending September 2015 (2,724). Overall, UASC applications represented 9% of all main applications for asylum.

There were 25,764 initial decisions on asylum applications from main applicants in the year ending September 2016, a decrease of 11% compared to the previous year. Of these initial decisions, 35% (8,964) were grants of asylum or an alternative form of protection, compared to 41% in the previous year. A separate Home Office analysis shows that for the years 2012 to 2014, 36% of decisions were granted initially, but this proportion rose to 49% after appeal.

Grant rates vary considerably between nationalities. For example, at initial decision, the grant rate for Iranian nationals was 37% (1,327 grants), compared with 12% (270 grants) for Iraqi nationals. Overall, there were 8,964 grants at initial decision for all nationalities in the year ending September 2016, which corresponds to a grant rate of 35%.

There were 1,704 grants of asylum or an alternative form of protection to Syrian main applicants at initial decision in the year ending September 2016. The grant rate for Syrian applicants was 86%, but some of those not granted will have been transferred to have their case assessed by another EU member state (third country), and other applicants may have been found not to be Syrian following investigation.

An additional 4,162 people (including dependants) were granted humanitarian protection under the Syrian Vulnerable Persons Resettlement Scheme (VPRS) in the year ending September 2016. Since this scheme began in 2014, a total of 4,414 people have been resettled. In the year ending September 2016, an additional 715 people were also resettled in the UK under the Gateway Protection Programme and the Mandate Scheme.

Including dependants, the UK had the sixth highest number (41,000) of asylum applications within the EU in the year ending September 2016. Germany (781,000), Sweden (112,000) and Italy (108,000) were the 3 EU countries that received the highest number of asylum applications, together accounting for 70% of asylum applications in the EU in that period.

2. Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants

Year	Total applications	Total Initial decisions	Granted (1)	Granted as a % of initial decisions	Refused	Refused as a % of initial decisions
Year ending September 2012	20,890	16,569	5,937	36%	10,632	64%
Year ending September 2013	23,805	18,728	6,975	37%	11,753	63%
Year ending September 2014	24,324	15,653	5,968	38%	9,685	62%
Year ending September 2015	29,247	28,951	12,013	41%	16,938	59%
Year ending September 2016	33,380	25,764	8,964	35%	16,800	65%
Change: latest year	+4,133	-3,187	-3,049	-	-138	-
Percentage change	+14%	-11%	-25%	-	-1%	-

Table notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 01 q (Asylum volume 1).
(1) Granted includes grants of asylum, humanitarian protection, discretionary leave, leave to remain under family life or private life rules, leave outside the rules, and UASC leave.

3. Long-term trends in asylum applications for main applicants

The chart below shows the annual number of asylum applications made since 2001.

Chart notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 01 (Asylum volume 1).

4. Nationalities applying for asylum

In the year ending September 2016, the largest number of applications for asylum came from nationals of Iran (4,822), followed by Iraq (3,127), Pakistan (2,937), Afghanistan (2,567), Syria (2,102) and Bangladesh (1,927). During this period, asylum applications from Iranian, Iraqi and Bangladeshi nationals more than doubled, as shown in the table below.

Countries with highest number of applications for asylum in the UK, year ending September 2016 compared to year ending September 2015

Ranking in year ending September 2016 (year ending September 2015)	Nationality	Year ending September 2015	Year ending September 2016	Grant rate based on initial decisions (%)
1 (4)	Iran	2,405	4,822	37%
2 (8)	Iraq	1,290	3,127	12%
3 (3)	Pakistan	2,411	2,937	16%
4 (6)	Afghanistan	1,731	2,567	34%
5 (5)	Syria	2,341	2,102	86%
6 (11)	Bangladesh	855	1,927	7%

Table notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 01 q (Asylum volume 1).
(1) Grant rates relate to the number of grants for asylum, humanitarian protection, discretionary leave, or other grants of stay, as a proportion of all initial decisions made in the year ending September 2016.
(2) Initial decisions do not necessarily relate to applications made in the same period and exclude the outcome of appeals or other subsequent decisions.

World events have an effect on who applies for asylum at any particular time. For example, the number of applicants from Syria has increased sharply following the outbreak of the Syrian civil war in early 2011. The 2,102 applications for asylum from Syrian nationals in the year ending September 2016 compares with 125 in the year ending March 2011. In addition, increasing numbers of people have sought asylum from other countries where there have been concerns over human rights. For example, in the year ending September 2016, there were 1,684 asylum applications from nationals of Eritrea compared to 831 in the year ending September 2011.

Grant rates for asylum and other forms of protection vary considerably between nationalities. For example, at initial decision, the grant rate for Iranian nationals was 37% (1,327 grants), compared with 12% (270 grants) for Iraqi nationals. Overall, there were 8,964 grants at initial decision for all nationalities in the year ending September 2016, which corresponds to a grant rate of 35%.

There were 1,704 grants of asylum or an alternative form of protection to Syrian nationals, at initial decision, in the year ending September 2016 (a grant rate of 86%). This is in addition to the 4,162 people, including dependants, who were granted humanitarian protection under the Syrian VPRS during this period. Refused asylum applications for Syrians will include cases that have been transferred to be assessed by another EU member state (third country), and may include some where it was found that the applicant did not hold Syrian nationality.

The grant rate at initial decision for Eritrean nationals fell following the publication of updated country information and guidance on illegal exit and national service in Eritrea in March 2015. In the year ending September 2016, the proportion of initial decisions for Eritrean nationals that were grants of asylum or an alternative form of protection was 51%, compared with 61% in the previous year. The Home Office has continued to review and update its country guidance. More information is available in the user guide.

5. Resettlement

In addition to those asylum seekers who apply in the UK, resettlement schemes are offered to those who have been referred to the Home Office by UNHCR (The United Nations Refugee Agency).

On 7 September 2015, an expansion to the existing Syrian VPRS was announced. Through this expansion, it was proposed that 20,000 Syrians in need of protection will be resettled in the UK by 2020. A total of 4,414 people have been granted humanitarian protection under the Syrian VPRS since the scheme began, and in the 12 months to the end of September 2016, 4,162 people were resettled under the Syrian VPRS across 175 different local authorities. Around half (49%) of those resettled under the Syrian VPRS were under 18 years old (2,059), and around half (48%) were female (1,989).

These data are available in Asylum table as_20_q (volume 4 of the Asylum data tables).

6. Unaccompanied asylum-seeking children

A UASC is a person under 18, or who, in the absence of documentary evidence establishing age, appears to be under that age, is applying for asylum in his or her own right and has no relative or guardian in the United Kingdom.

There were 3,144 asylum applications from UASC in the year ending September 2016, a 15% rise compared to the year ending September 2015 (2,724). Overall, UASC applications represented 9% of all main applications for asylum. Despite the recent increase in UASC applications, they remain below the peak of 4,060 in the year ending September 2008. The nationalities that lodged the highest numbers of UASC applications in the UK were Afghan (783), Iranian (435), and then Albanian (426). These 3 countries contributed to more than half (52%) of total UASC applications.

There were 2,050 initial decisions relating to a UASC in the year ending September 2016, 5% higher than the previous year (1,954). Of these decisions, 31% were grants of asylum or another form of protection, and 44% were grants of temporary leave (UASC Leave). In the previous year, 29% of initial decisions were grants of asylum or another form of protection, and 40% were grants of temporary leave. UASC applicants that are refused will include those from countries where it is safe to return children to their families, as well as some applicants who were determined to be over 18 following an age assessment.

On 21 April 2016, the government announced they will work with UNHCR to resettle children from the Middle East and North Africa region. The new scheme aims to support vulnerable and refugee children at risk and their families, with a view of resettling up to 3,000 individuals over the course of this parliament.

7. International comparisons

Figures in this section are based on data supplied by the individual countries to the Intergovernmental Consultations on Migration, Asylum and Refugees (IGC), UNHCR and Eurostat. Not all countries provide the latest data in time for each Immigration Statistics release. Where a figure is unavailable for a given month, we estimate it using the average of the last 3 months available, unless the time series is erratic, when we use the average of the last 12 months.

Including dependants, the total number of asylum applications to the EU in the year ending September 2016 was an estimated 1,422,000, an increase of 33% compared to the year ending September 2015 (1,068,000).

Top EU countries receiving asylum applications, year ending September 2016

(Total number of applications 1,422,000 including dependants; some estimated data)

Chart notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 07 q (Asylum volume 3).
(1) Figures are rounded to the nearest 1,000 and so may not sum to the total.
(2) The estimated figures in this chart are based on data supplied to IGC and UNHCR.

In the second quarter of 2016 (April to June), the latest provisional Eurostat data, Asylum quarterly report show that the non-EU nationalities with the highest number of persons seeking asylum in the EU as a whole were Syrians, Afghans and Iraqis. The highest number of first-time asylum applications in April to June 2016 were registered in Germany (186,745 applications, or 61% of total applications in the EU), followed by Italy (27,045; 9%) and France (17,835; 6%). The UK received 9,765 first-time applications in that three-month period, or 3% of the EU total. Germany received 71,825 applications from Syrians, followed by a further 32,605 from Afghans and 27,800 from Iraqis. These numbers exclude the additional cases accepted through resettlement schemes, such as the Syrian VPRS.

Between April and June 2016, the proportion of positive asylum decisions (for all non-EU nationalities) in Germany was 67% compared with 36% in France and 33% in the UK. The average grant rate for a particular member state will be affected by the nationalities of the people applying for asylum in that country and their respective likelihood of those nationalities being accepted as refugees. When comparing figures for different EU member states, it is important to bear in mind there may also be differences in the collection and reporting methods, as well as differences in procedures, which may influence the comparability of the figures.

In the EU as a whole, the nationality with the highest number of positive decisions was Syrian (86,355) with a grant rate of 98%, followed by Iraqis (10,235; 61%) and Afghans (6,820; 53%). By contrast, only 385 (4%) applications from Albanian nationals were granted refugee status or an alternative form of protection at initial decision.

8. Outcome of asylum applications

The most recent data report on the initial decisions made on asylum applications by the Home Office. However, some decisions will be challenged by appeal to the HM Courts and Tribunals Service (HMCTS), an executive agency of the Ministry of Justice.

The Home Office produces an analysis of applications for whole year cohorts of asylum seekers, in order to calculate the overall success rates following appeal. For most years, this will provide the most complete description of the outcome for asylum seekers; however, for the most recent years some cases will still be outstanding, as not all cases will have had sufficient time to be completed. The analysis therefore only provides a ‘snapshot’ of the recorded outcomes of the group (or cohort) of asylum applicants in any one year, at a particular time. This dataset is updated, in full, annually and is currently available up to 2015.

8.1 Outcome of applications made between 2012 and 2014

The following chart gives an illustration of outcomes in the asylum system in the UK for applications made in the years 2012 to 2014 (inclusive), where the outcome is known.

Indicative flows through the UK asylum system, where outcomes known, 2012 to 2014 data

Chart notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 06 (Asylum volume 2).
(1) Assumes all appeals lodged are as a result of a refused application. Latest data for 2012 to 2014 show 70% of all refusals resulted in an appeal being lodged.
(2) Figures are derived by combining data from the 2012, 2013 and 2014 cohort data from table as 06.
(3) Cases where initial decision or appeal outcomes are unknown are not included in this analysis.
(4) Grant rates shown here relate to the outcomes of total applications made in each cohort year, and take withdrawn applications into account. They are therefore not directly comparable with the annual grant rates shown in the earlier table ‘Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants’, which gives grants as a percentage of total initial decisions made each year.

8.2 Currently recorded outcomes for 2015 applications

The outcomes for the 32,733 main applicants who applied for asylum in 2015, as with previous cohorts, will be updated in subsequent annual reports. However, as at May 2016, it is estimated that 10,319 (32%) main applicants had been granted asylum, humanitarian protection or discretionary leave, either at initial decision or after appeal; 9,168 (28%) were refused or withdrawn; and 13,246 (40%) were awaiting confirmation of an initial decision or appeal outcome.

Outcome of asylum applications, by year of application

Chart notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 06 (Asylum volume 2).
(1) Chart shows the proportion of recorded outcomes of applications made in each year from 2004 to 2015, as at May 2016.
(2) Due to the large variety of routes that an asylum application can take to a final outcome, the analysis of the outcomes of asylum applications in any one year requires interpretation for a small percentage of cases. The proportions and underlying figures for final outcomes of the analysis of applications for the group (or cohort) of applicants in any one year, are therefore estimated.
(3) The proportion of applications awaiting the outcome of an initial decision or an appeal will inherently be lower in earlier years as there has been longer for the cases to be processed than those from more recent years.

The overall proportion of applications granted asylum or a form of temporary protection, either at initial decision or after having an appeal allowed, was estimated to be 26% in 2004; this proportion has steadily increased to 53% of applications made in 2015 (where the outcome is known), as shown in the above chart.

The recorded outcomes of asylum applications made in 2016 are due to be published in August 2017.

9. Support provided to asylum seekers

At the end of September 2016, a total of 37,958 asylum seekers and their dependants were being supported in the UK under Section 95 (Immigration and Asylum Act 1999), compared with 31,896 at the end of September 2015. The majority (35,254) were supported in dispersed accommodation, with 93% located outside of London. An additional 2,704 were receiving subsistence-only support, with just over half (51%) of these located in London. Although the total figure has risen since 2012, it remains considerably below that for the end of 2003 (the start of the published data series), when there were 80,123 asylum seekers in receipt of Section 95 support.

Asylum seekers in receipt of Section 95 support, by local authority, per million population, as at the end of September 2016

Chart notes

Source: Home Office, Immigration Statistics July to September 2016, Asylum table as 16 q (Asylum volume 4); population figures sourced from the ONS 2015 mid-year population estimates, published 23 June 2016 Population Estimates for UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

The number of asylum seekers in receipt of Section 95 support by local authority, as at the end of each quarter, is available in Asylum table as 16 q (volume 4 of the Asylum data tables).

There were 3,765 failed asylum seekers and their dependants receiving support (under Section 4) at the end of September 2016. Failed asylum seekers (main applicants only) receiving support under Section 4 peaked at the end of September 2009 (12,019).

10. Applications pending

At the end of September 2016, 25,902 applications (received since April 2006) from main applicants were pending a decision (initial decision, appeal or further review), 7% more than at the end of September 2015 (24,236). The number who had been awaiting an initial decision for more than 6 months increased by 128% (from 3,623 to 8,278) while those pending further review decreased by 46% to 4,729.

11. Asylum appeals

The HMCTS received 12,492 asylum appeals from main applicants in the year ending September 2016, an 11% fall compared with the previous year (14,085).

Appeal determinations have increased from 8,919 in the year ending September 2015 to 10,253 in the year ending September 2016. These figures remain below the peaks in the number of appeals and the number of determinations in the year ending June 2010, which were 16,560 and 16,032 respectively. In the year ending September 2016, the proportion of determined appeals that were dismissed was 53%, while 43% of appeals were allowed and 4% were withdrawn.

12. Returns

In the year ending September 2016, there were 2,522 enforced returns of people who had previously sought asylum (including dependants), down 36% from the previous year (3,947). In the same period there were 1,337 voluntary returns (excluding returns from detention) of people who had sought asylum at some stage, also down 23% from the previous year (1,743). Further information on returns can be found in the Returns topic and figures on asylum returns are available in Returns volumes 1 and Returns volume 3.

13. Age disputes

Some asylum applicants claim to be children but there may be doubts as to whether this is in fact the case. In the year ending September 2016, 1,000 asylum applicants had their age disputed and 933 were recorded as having an age assessment. Of those who completed age assessments in the year ending September 2016, 67% were assessed to be over 18, despite claiming to be a child when the age dispute was raised.

14. Dependants

Including dependants, the number of asylum applications increased by 14% from 36,360 in the year ending September 2015 to 41,280 in the year ending September 2016. This is an average of 1 dependant for every 4 main applicants. In the same period, 6,267 initial decisions were made relating to dependants. Of these, 1,583 (25%) were grants of asylum or an alternative form of protection, and 4,684 (75%) were refusals.

15. Data tables

Data referred to here can be found in the following tables:

Asylum vol. 1: tables as 01 to as 02
The following tables are included in this volume:
as 01 Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants, by country of nationality
as 01 q Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants, by country of nationality
as 02 Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants and dependants, by country of nationality

Asylum vol. 2: tables as 02 q to as 06
The following tables are included in this volume:
as 02 q Asylum applications and initial decisions for main applicants and dependants, by country of nationality
as 03 Asylum applications from main applicants, by age, sex and country of nationality
as 04 Asylum applications from main applicants and dependants, by age, sex and country of nationality
as 05 Asylum initial decisions from main applicants, by sex and country of nationality
as 06 Outcome analysis of asylum applications, as at May 2016

Asylum vol. 3: tables as 07 to as 13 q
The following tables are included in this volume:
as 07 Asylum applications received in Europe and elsewhere for main applicants and dependants
as 07 q Asylum applications received in Europe and elsewhere for main applicants and dependants
as 08 Asylum applications received from unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, excluding dependants, by sex and age at time of application
as 08 q Asylum applications received from unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, excluding dependants, by sex and age at time of application
as 09 Initial decisions on asylum applications from unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, excluding dependants, by sex and age at initial decision
as 09 q Initial decisions on asylum applications from unaccompanied asylum-seeking children, excluding dependants, by sex and age at initial decision
as 10 Age disputes raised and resolved for asylum applicants, by country of nationality
as 10 q Age disputes raised and resolved for asylum applicants, by country of nationality
as 11 Asylum main applicants accepted onto the fast-track process, by country of nationality
as 12 Outcomes of asylum main applicants accepted onto the fast-track process
as 13 q Main applicants refused asylum and eligible for the non-suspensive appeals process, by country of nationality

Asylum vol. 4: tables as 14 to as 20 q
The following tables are included in this volume:
as 14 Asylum appeal applications and determinations, by country of nationality and sex
as 14 q Asylum appeal applications and determinations, by country of nationality
as 15 Applications for asylum support, by support type and nationality
as 16 q Asylum seekers in receipt of Section 95 support, by local authority, as at end of quarter
as 17 q Asylum seekers in receipt of Section 95 support, by country of nationality and UK region, as at end of quarter
as 18 q Asylum seekers in receipt of Section 4 or Section 98 support, and decisions to grant Section 4 support
as 19 q Refugees (and others) resettled, including dependants, by country of nationality
as 20 q Refugees (and others) resettled under the Syrian Vulnerable Persons Resettlement Scheme, including dependants, by local authority

16. Background Information

This section covers asylum applications, initial decisions, estimated final outcomes, resettlement, UASC, international comparisons, support, appeals, returns and age disputes.

16.1 Migration transparency data webpage

A range of key input and impact indicators are currently published by the Home Office on the Migration transparency data webpage.