Research and analysis

Future trends analysis for marine sectors, activities and protected areas

Evidence requirement R053: Understand the changes affecting marine plan areas in the North West, North East, South East and South West over the next 20 years

Documents

Future trends analysis for marine sectors, activities and protected areas

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Details

Requirement R053

Understand the changes affecting marine plan areas in the North West, North East, South East and South West over the next 20 years.

Requirement detail

Assessments should include:

  • likely trends
  • resulting changes in sector size, distribution and activity levels
  • anticipated social, economic and environmental impacts associated with these changes

Assessments should also consider marine plan areas’ futures and focus on marine protected areas within the marine plan areas.

Spatial information is preferred but is not dependent on a complex predictive model. Scenarios are not a critical component, but would be considered useful

MMO use

Marine planning:

  • provide insight into likely development of sectors over the period of the marine plans, influencing policy development for future development of sectors including economic, social and environmental impacts
  • form part of the evidence base for marine planning
  • help to identify issues that marine plans need to deal with

Marine conservation:

  • inform decisions on future management of marine protected areas, potentially highlighting where activity that would affect marine protected areas will change over time

External interest

Cefas, Natural England, Environment Agency, JNCC

Delivery target

2018, Quarter 2

Published 10 August 2016
Last updated 26 August 2016 + show all updates
  1. Document updated
  2. First published.