Independent report

Forecast evaluation report – June 2026

Our annual Forecast evaluation report (FER) examines how our forecasts compare to subsequent outturn data and identifies lessons for future forecasts.

• From: Office for Budget Responsibility
• Published: 2 June 2026
• Last updated: 2 June 2026 — See all updates

Documents

Forecast evaluation report – June 2026

Ref: ISBN 978-1-5286-6460-8

PDF, 546 KB, 57 pages

Forecast evaluation report – June 2026

Ref: ISBN 978-1-5286-6460-8

Unnumbered act paper

HTML

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June 2026 Forecast evaluation report – charts and tables

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 1010 KB

This file may not be suitable for users of assistive technology.

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If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email OBR.enquiries@obr.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

June 2026 Forecast evaluation report – economic model development database

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 37.3 KB

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June 2026 Forecast evaluation report – fiscal model assessment database

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 65.5 KB

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June 2026 Forecast evaluation report – annex A: supplementary economy tables

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 64.7 KB

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June 2026 Forecast evaluation report – annex B: supplementary fiscal tables

MS Excel Spreadsheet, 85.2 KB

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Details

This report focuses on the performance of our July 2020, March 2023, and March 2024 economic and fiscal forecasts for the fiscal year 2024-25 against the latest outturn data. Further information on the Forecast evaluation report can be found on the OBR website.

Published 2 June 2026

Last updated 2 June 2026 + show all updates

1. 2 June 2026

   Amended the state of excel files and added the HTML attachment of the main report

2. 2 June 2026

   First published.