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Research and analysis

Creating tailored climate scenarios

A practical 5 step guide to selecting and tailoring climate scenarios for risk management, strategic planning and TCFD-aligned reporting.

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This crib sheet sets out a 5 step process for building tailored climate scenarios. It explains how to confirm your scope, set anchor points, frame scenarios around global warming levels, establish plausible pathways and build narratives specific to your organisation. It draws on HM Treasury’s application guidance for public sector bodies. You will learn how low and high warming scenarios can be used to test resilience and how to link global pathways to your own assets, services and policies. The guide also explains why scenarios should be reviewed regularly as risks and conditions change.

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