Research and analysis

Additional airport capacity: strategic fit analysis

A strategic fit analysis of the Airports Commission's shortlisted options for additional airport capacity.

Documents

Cover note

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Forecasts

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Forecasts: passenger numbers

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Expanding airport capacity: competition and connectivity

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Fit with wider spatial and socio-economic development strategies

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Impacts of expanding airport capacity on competition and connectivity

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Detail

These reports support the strategic fit analysis in the consultation on the Airport Commission’s shortlisted options for additional airport capacity.

The Airports Commission’s ‘Forecasts’ report, published in November 2014, sets out the methodology, assumptions and results of the commission’s forecasting of aviation demand. It includes a description of the various scenarios modelled and the differences between them.

The ‘Forecasts: passenger numbers’ report, published in January 2015, contains granular data on forecast passenger numbers for a number of smaller regional airports. The information was originally aggregated under the heading of ‘other UK airports’ in our ‘Forecasts’ report.

The ‘Expanding airport capacity: competition and connectivity’ report was produced by consultants (ITF/SEO). It assesses how airlines could respond across a range of different global scenarios to expanding runway capacity at either Gatwick or Heathrow. It considers the potential connectivity and competition impacts would be generated by such responses.

The Airports Commission’s ‘Fit with wider spatial and socio-economic development strategies’ report looks at the context of each expansion option across plans including:

  • local authority and local enterprise partnership strategies
  • national frameworks
  • the London Plan