Research and analysis

A framework for validating probabilistic flood models

This project explores how probabilistic flood models can be validated within a wider framework.

Documents

A framework for validating probabilistic flood models

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Details

Flood models with a probabilistic component allow users to better understand how much confidence they can have in the overall model results given the uncertainties involved, such as natural variability in flood flows and how flood defences are likely to perform. This note explores how such probabilistic flood models can be validated within a wider framework.

Published 16 October 2012