Taxing the good? distortions, misallocation, and productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa

This paper uses comprehensive and comparable firm-level manufacturing censuses from 4 Sub-Saharan African

Abstract

This paper uses comprehensive and comparable firm-level manufacturing censuses from 4 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries to examine the extent, costs, and nature of within-industry resource misallocation between heterogeneous production units. This paper finds evidence of severe misallocation in which resources are diverted away from high-productivity firms towards low-productivity ones, although the magnitude differs across countries. Estimated aggregate productivity gains from the hypothetical equalization of marginal returns range from 30 percent in Côte d’Ivoire to 160 percent in Kenya. The magnitude of reallocation gains appears considerably lower when performing the same counterfactual exercise based on the World Bank Enterprise Surveys once the value-added shares of industries are adjusted using the census data. This suggests that linking firm-level survey data to aggregate outcomes requires census-type data or sampling methods that take the true structure of production into account.

This is an output of the World Bank’s Strategic Research Program

Citation

Xavier Cirera, Roberto Fattal-Jaef, Hibret Maemir, Taxing the Good? Distortions, Misallocation, and Productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa, The World Bank Economic Review, Volume 34, Issue 1, February 2020, Pages 75–100, https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhy018

Taxing the good? distortions, misallocation, and productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa

Published 1 August 2019