This quantitative analysis is a follow up to a preliminary estimate of benefit impact published in 2012.
The 2012 publication contains a full discussion of the trailblazer’s background and the
methodology used to estimate the early benefit impacts, as well as the benefit impacts within
This report contains statistics describing a longer term estimate of the impact of the support for the very long term unemployed trailblazer on the likelihood of participants being in receipt of an out of work benefit or training allowance over a much longer tracking period than the original analysis.
In addition, it also examines the likelihood of participants entering employment as recorded by
Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs P45 employment spells data, and looks at the impact of the trailblazer across a selection of sub-groups.