National Statistics

Prison population projections 2016 to 2021

The latest National Statistics on prison population projections.



The latest National Statistics on prison population projections.

This annual release gives the projected monthly prison population in England and Wales up to 2021. Sub-population estimates are presented alongside the effects of legislation, sentencing activity, and so on relevant to the prison population.

The publication is released by the Ministry of Justice and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.

If you have any comments on the methods used for prison projections, please contact us: email

The bulletin is produced and handled by the ministry’s analytical professionals and production staff. Pre-release access of up to 24 hours to the 2016-2021 projections was granted to the following persons:

Ministry of Justice: Secretary of State; Ministers of State; Permanent Secretary; Chief Executive NOMS; Capacity Planning NOMS, Operational Services and Interventions Group NOMS; Director General, MoJ Finance; Director General, Criminal Justice Group; Sentencing and Rehabilitation Team and relevant special advisers and press officers.

Number 10: Private Office.

Published 25 August 2016