National Statistics

Local authority population projections for Wales, 2014-based: Variant

Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population, and are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration. The assumptions are based on past trends. Projections done in this way do not make allowances for the effects of local or central government policies on future population levels, distribution and change.

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Local authority population projections for Wales, 2014-based: Variant

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In order to illustrate the inherent uncertainty around future demographic change when producing a set of projections it is possible to produce a ‘central’ or principal projection based on an agreed set of assumptions, and a number of variants based on alternative assumptions.

Published 6 October 2016