This report presents the latest findings from the 2012 to 2013 Error and Fraud Analytical Programme, which measures error and fraud in the tax credits system.
Estimates for 2012 to 2013 have been revised and were re-published on 4 June 2015. This is in line with our published revisions policy of releasing revised statistics if new information on the cases sampled leads to a change of 0.2 percentage points or more in the rate of error and fraud
For 2012 to 2013, the revised central estimate of the rate of error and fraud favouring the customer is around 5.3%, revised down from 7% published a year ago. This equates to around £1.52 billion paid out incorrectly through error and fraud, revised down from around £2.01 billion. (These are downward revisions of 1.7 percentage points and £490 million respectively).