Research and analysis

Thunderstorm and deep convention warning project

This project was established to explore ways of improving the short range prediction of heavy convective precipitation.

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This project was established to explore ways of improving the short range prediction (up to 3 hours ahead) of heavy convective precipitation, initially in the Environment Agency’s Thames Region. The aims of the Prqject were two-fold:

  • to validate an object-orientated conceptual model of convection devised to improve the prediction of heavy convective precipitation
  • to provide objective guidance on the most appropriate choice of radar-based precipitation forecast in a range of weather situations.